Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 65.23%. A draw had a probability of 18.47% and a win for Brighton & Hove Albion Women had a probability of 16.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.67%) and 0-1 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.21%) , while for a Brighton & Hove Albion Women win it was 2-1 (4.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.