Welsh Premier League Gameweek 8
Sep 11, 2026 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Ynys Park
  • 28' yellowcard
  • Jasper Jones 29' yellowcard
  • 39' yellowcard
  • Morgan Thomas 40' yellowcard
  • 68' yellowcard
  • Kostya Georgievsky 68' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ash Baker 56'
  • yellowcard 59'
  • goal Tyler Walker 70'
  • goal Tyler Walker 71'
  • yellowcard Marinho Manga 76'
  • yellowcard 77'
  • yellowcard 88'
  • yellowcard Chris Venables 88'
  • yellowcard 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Leko 90'+4'

Trefelin vs Pen-y-Bont - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Trefelin

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last game
Sep 4, 2026 7.45pm
Holywell 1 - 1 Trefelin
Goals scored
3
Top scorer
Louis Gerrard

Pen-y-Bont

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last game
Sep 5, 2026 12.30pm
Pen-y-Bont 1 - 0 Colwyn Bay
Goals scored
12
Top scorer
Tom Mehew

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 38.24%. A win for Trefelin had a probability of 37.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.76%) and 0-2 (5.2%). The likeliest Trefelin win was 2-1 (8.19%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result

Trefelin 37.58% ▼ (-0.03)
Draw 24.24% ▲ (+0.03)
Pen-y-Bont 38.24% ▼ (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.9% ▲ (+0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 82.24% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 17.76% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 2.5 61.12% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 38.88% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 38.84% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 3.5 61.16% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 4.5 23.65% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 4.5 76.35% ▼ (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Trefelin 31.48% ▼ (-0.02)
Draw 37.53% ▼ (-0.01)
Pen-y-Bont 30.98% ▲ (+0.02)

Team To Score First

Trefelin 47.97% ▲ (+0.08)
No Goal 4.74% ▲ (+0.01)
Pen-y-Bont 47.29% ▼ (-0.08)

Corners

Over 8 60.04%
Equal 8 11.36% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 8 28.6% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 9 48.27% ▼ (-0.02)
Equal 9 11.77% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 9 39.96%
Over 10.5 37.1% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 10.5 62.9% ▲ (+0.04)

Trefelin Goals

Over 1.5 43.96% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 56.04% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 19.95% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 2.5 80.05% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 7.88% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 92.12% ▲ (+0.02)

Pen-y-Bont Goals

Over 0.5 73.24% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 0.5 26.76% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 1.5 43.77% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 56.23% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 20.39%
Under 2.5 79.61%
Over 3.5 7.22% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 3.5 92.78% ▼ (-0.05)

Score analysis

Trefelin 37.58%
Draw 24.24%
Pen-y-Bont 38.23%
Trefelin
2-1 @ 8.19%
1-0 @ 6.31% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 5.41%
3-1 @ 4.01% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.31% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 2.84% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 7.51% ▼ (-0.04)
Total : 37.58%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.51% ▲ (+0.04)
2-2 @ 6.71% ▼ (-0.05)
0-0 @ 4.74% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.91% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.37% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 24.24%
Pen-y-Bont
1-2 @ 8.16%
0-1 @ 6.76% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.2% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 4.47% ▼ (-0.04)
2-3 @ 3.7% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 3.09%
Other @ 6.85% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 38.23%