Welsh Premier League Gameweek 8
Sep 11, 2026 7.45pm
Ynys Park

Trefelin vs Pen-y-Bont - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Trefelin

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last game
Sep 4, 2026 7.45pm
Holywell 1 - 1 Trefelin
Goals scored
3
Top scorer
Louis Gerrard

Pen-y-Bont

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last game
Sep 5, 2026 12.30pm
Pen-y-Bont 1 - 0 Colwyn Bay
Goals scored
11
Top scorer
Tom Mehew

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 38.25%. A win for Trefelin has a probability of 37.6% and a draw has a probability of 24.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (6.75%) and 0-2 (5.19%). The likeliest Trefelin win is 2-1 (8.19%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.47%).

Result

Trefelin 37.6% (+0.06)
Draw 24.21%
Pen-y-Bont 38.25% (-0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.89%

Goals

Over 1.5 82.23%
Under 1.5 17.77%
Over 2.5 61.16%
Under 2.5 38.84%
Over 3.5 38.89%
Under 3.5 61.11%
Over 4.5 23.64%
Under 4.5 76.36%

First Half Winner

Trefelin 31.5%
Draw 37.54%
Pen-y-Bont 30.96%

Team To Score First

Trefelin 47.9%
No Goal 4.73%
Pen-y-Bont 47.37%

Corners

Over 8 60.04%
Equal 8 11.34%
Under 8 28.62%
Over 9 48.29%
Equal 9 11.75%
Under 9 39.96%
Over 10.5 37.14%
Under 10.5 62.86%

Trefelin Goals

Over 1.5 44% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 56% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 19.92% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 80.08% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 7.89% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 92.11% (-0.02)

Pen-y-Bont Goals

Over 0.5 73.2% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 26.8% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 43.79% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 56.21% (+0.06)
Over 2.5 20.39% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 79.61% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 7.17% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 92.83% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Trefelin 37.6%
Draw 24.2%
Pen-y-Bont 38.24%
Trefelin
2-1 @ 8.19% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 6.33% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 5.41% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.3%
3-0 @ 2.83%
Other @ 7.54% (+0.03)
Total : 37.6%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.47%
2-2 @ 6.75%
0-0 @ 4.73%
3-3 @ 1.9%
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 24.2%
Pen-y-Bont
1-2 @ 8.16% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 6.75% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 5.19% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 4.5%
2-3 @ 3.73%
0-3 @ 3.09% (-0.02)
Other @ 6.82% (-0.02)
Total : 38.24%