Welsh Premier League Gameweek 7
Sep 4, 2026 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Halkyn Road
  • 48' yellowcard
  • Harvey Morris 82' goal
  • goal Louis Phillips 61'

Holywell vs Trefelin - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Holywell

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last game
Aug 31, 2026 2.30pm
Airbus UK 6 - 2 Holywell
Goals scored
10
Top scorer
Florian Yonsian

Trefelin

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last game
Aug 31, 2026 2.30pm
Haverfordwest 2 - 1 Trefelin
Goals scored
3
Top scorer
Louis Gerrard

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Trefelin win with a probability of 47.08%. A win for Holywell had a probability of 31.33% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Trefelin win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.41%) and 0-2 (5.18%). The likeliest Holywell win was 2-1 (6.16%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood.

Result

Holywell 31.33% ▼ (-1.53)
Draw 21.6% ▼ (-0.63)
Trefelin 47.08% ▲ (+2.16)

Both Teams to Score: 

68.05% ▲ (+1.75)

Goals

Over 1.5 87.33% ▲ (+1.13)
Under 1.5 12.67% ▼ (-1.12)
Over 2.5 69.63% ▲ (+1.55)
Under 2.5 30.37% ▼ (-1.56)
Over 3.5 49.66% ▲ (+2.57)
Under 3.5 50.29% ▼ (-2.62)
Over 4.5 33.68% ▲ (+1.79)
Under 4.5 66.32% ▼ (-1.79)

First Half Winner

Holywell 29.9% ▼ (-0.80)
Draw 33.02% ▼ (-0.16)
Trefelin 37.08% ▲ (+0.95)

Team To Score First

Holywell 42.68% ▼ (-2.68)
No Goal 3.28% ▼ (-0.60)
Trefelin 54.04% ▲ (+3.27)

Corners

Over 8 60.58% ▼ (-4.69)
Equal 8 11.29% ▲ (+0.74)
Under 8 28.12% ▲ (+3.95)
Over 9 48.81% ▼ (-5.04)
Equal 9 11.78% ▲ (+0.36)
Under 9 39.42% ▲ (+4.68)
Over 10.5 37.57% ▼ (-4.97)
Under 10.5 62.43% ▲ (+4.97)

Holywell Goals

Over 1.5 40.81% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 1.5 59.19% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 2.5 19.76% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 80.24% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 8.23%
Under 3.5 91.77%

Trefelin Goals

Over 0.5 79.21% ▲ (+1.72)
Under 0.5 20.79% ▼ (-1.73)
Over 1.5 55.28% ▲ (+2.61)
Under 1.5 44.72% ▼ (-2.61)
Over 2.5 30.81% ▲ (+2.29)
Under 2.5 69.19% ▼ (-2.30)
Over 3.5 15.32% ▲ (+0.61)
Under 3.5 84.68% ▼ (-0.61)

Score analysis

Holywell 31.34%
Draw 21.61%
Trefelin 47.07%
Holywell
2-1 @ 6.16% ▼ (-0.61)
1-0 @ 4.41% ▼ (-0.33)
3-2 @ 3.9% ▲ (+0.11)
3-1 @ 3.75% ▲ (+0.13)
2-0 @ 3.49% ▼ (-0.36)
3-0 @ 1.81% ▼ (-0.44)
Other @ 7.82% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 31.34%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.02% ▼ (-0.20)
2-2 @ 6.83% ▼ (-0.05)
0-0 @ 3.28% ▼ (-0.60)
3-3 @ 2.07% ▲ (+0.19)
Other @ 0.41% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 21.61%
Trefelin
1-2 @ 8.56% ▲ (+0.16)
1-3 @ 5.41% ▲ (+0.72)
0-2 @ 5.18% ▲ (+0.13)
0-1 @ 5% ▼ (-0.21)
2-3 @ 4.57% ▲ (+0.91)
0-3 @ 3.44% ▼ (-0.13)
Other @ 14.91% ▲ (+0.59)
Total : 47.07%