Welsh Premier League Gameweek 5
Aug 28, 2026 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Brewery Field
  • Tom Mehew 8' goal
  • Marinho Manga 45'+5' yellowcard
  • Liam Shephard 68' yellowcard
  • Ethan Vaughan 69' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Namory Kane 39'
  • yellowcard Mikey Burke 62'
  • yellowcard Harry Owen  68'
  • goal Lassana Mendes 89'
  • yellowcard Lassana Mendes 90'+4'

Pen-y-Bont vs Flint Town United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Pen-y-Bont

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last game
Aug 21, 2026 7.45pm
Pen-y-Bont 2 - 1 Llandudno
Goals scored
10
Top scorer
Tom Mehew

Flint Town United

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last game
Aug 21, 2026 7.45pm
Flint Town 0 - 1 Briton Ferry
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
Harry Dean

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flint Town United win with a probability of 39.5%. A win for Pen-y-Bont had a probability of 33.71% and a draw had a probability of 26.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flint Town United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.5%) and 0-2 (6.91%). The likeliest Pen-y-Bont win was 1-0 (9.52%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.

Result

Pen-y-Bont 33.71% ▲ (+0.11)
Draw 26.73% ▼ (-0.04)
Flint Town United 39.5% ▼ (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.58%

Goals

Over 1.5 72.42% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 1.5 27.58% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 2.5 46.85% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 2.5 53.15% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 3.5 25.23% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 74.77% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 4.5 13.54% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 4.5 86.46% ▼ (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Pen-y-Bont 26.45% ▼ (-0.06)
Draw 41.47% ▼ (-0.06)
Flint Town United 32.08% ▲ (+0.10)

Team To Score First

Pen-y-Bont 44.92% ▼ (-0.04)
No Goal 8.11%
Flint Town United 46.97% ▲ (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 52.51% ▲ (+0.04)
Equal 8 11.96%
Under 8 35.53% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 9 40.82% ▲ (+0.04)
Equal 9 11.69%
Under 9 47.49% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 10.5 30.33% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 10.5 69.67% ▼ (-0.04)

Pen-y-Bont Goals

Over 1.5 32.41% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 1.5 67.59% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 2.5 11.58% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 2.5 88.42% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 3.5 3.51% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 96.49% ▼ (-0.03)

Flint Town United Goals

Over 0.5 70.7% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 0.5 29.3% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 1.5 37.36% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 1.5 62.64% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 2.5 15% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 2.5 85% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 3.5 4.82% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 95.18% ▼ (-0.01)

Score analysis

Pen-y-Bont 33.71%
Draw 26.74%
Flint Town United 39.52%
Pen-y-Bont
1-0 @ 9.52% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 7.64% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 5.78% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 2.92% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 2.37% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 1.99% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 3.49% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 33.71%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.86%
0-0 @ 8.11%
2-2 @ 4.96% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.02%
Total : 26.74%
Flint Town United
0-1 @ 9.92% ▼ (-0.01)
1-2 @ 8.5%
0-2 @ 6.91%
1-3 @ 3.83% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 3.11% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.45% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 4.8% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 39.52%

Head to Head

Welsh Premier League
Nov 1, 2025 2.30pm
3
4
HT : 0 0
FT
Welsh Premier League
Sep 13, 2025 12.30pm
5
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 16
Nov 9, 2024 2.30pm
3
1
HT : 3 0
FT Bryntirion Park
  • James Crole 28' goal
  • Clayton Green 29' yellowcard
  • Lewis Harling 29' yellowcard
  • Mattie Davies 45'+1' goal
  • Chris Venables 45'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Bobby Beaumont 35'
  • goal Harry Owen 50'
  • yellowcard Florian Yonsian 52'
  • yellowcard Michael Burke 63'
  • yellowcard Michael Burke 64'
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 10
Sep 28, 2024 2.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Ground Cae-y-Castell
  • Ben Hughes 41' yellowcard
  • Isaac Lee 45' yellowcard
  • Sidi Sanogo Fofana 52' yellowcard
  • Izaak Lambert 60' yellowcard
  • Harry Owen 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gabe Kircough 43'
  • goal Owen Pritchard 70'
  • yellowcard James Crole 85'
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 10
Oct 1, 2022 2.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Ground Cae-y-Castell
  • Harry Owen 27' goal
  • goal Ryan Reynolds 43'
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 3
Aug 27, 2022 2.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT The KYMCO Stadium
  • Rhys Kavanagh 44' yellowcard
  • Rhys Kavanagh 47' goal
  • Rhys Griffiths 59' goal
  • Billy Borge 65' yellowcard
  • Rhys Griffiths 90' yellowcard
  • goal Jean-Louis Akpa Akpro 30'
  • yellowcard Danny Harrison 38'
  • yellowcard Jean-Louis Akpa Akpro 66'
  • yellowcard Okera Simmonds 85'