Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barry Town United win with a probability of 44.89%. A win for Pen-y-Bont had a probability of 30.1% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barry Town United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Pen-y-Bont win was 0-1 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
