Haverfordwest2 - 1Barry
Gajda (90+1')
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haverfordwest County win with a probability of 43.81%. A win for Barry Town United had a probability of 32.12% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haverfordwest County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.14%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest Barry Town United win was 1-2 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Haverfordwest County in this match.
| Result | ||
| Haverfordwest County | Draw | Barry Town United |
| 43.81% | 24.07% | 32.12% |
| Both teams to score 59.94% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.66% | 42.34% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.25% | 64.74% |
| Haverfordwest County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.46% | 19.54% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.56% | 51.44% |
| Barry Town United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.49% | 25.51% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.64% | 60.35% |
| Score Analysis |
| Haverfordwest County | Draw | Barry Town United |
| 2-1 @ 9.08% 1-0 @ 8.14% 2-0 @ 6.64% 3-1 @ 4.94% 3-0 @ 3.62% 3-2 @ 3.37% 4-1 @ 2.02% 4-0 @ 1.48% 4-2 @ 1.38% Other @ 3.15% Total : 43.81% | 1-1 @ 11.11% 2-2 @ 6.2% 0-0 @ 4.98% 3-3 @ 1.54% Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.06% | 1-2 @ 7.6% 0-1 @ 6.81% 0-2 @ 4.65% 1-3 @ 3.46% 2-3 @ 2.82% 0-3 @ 2.12% 1-4 @ 1.18% 2-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.52% Total : 32.12% |


