Club Friendlies 3
Jul 26, 2026 12.00pm
Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques

Vitoria de Guimaraes vs Nottingham Forest - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Vitoria de Guimaraes

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 24, 2026 10.30am
Guimaraes 3 - 1 Al-Ahli

Nottingham Forest

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 22, 2026 11.00am
Nott'm Forest 3 - 0 Blackburn

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 56.5%. A draw has a probability of 22.91% and a win for Nottingham Forest has a probability of 20.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win is 2-1 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.69%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.41%) , while for a Nottingham Forest win it is 1-2 (5.44%).

Result

Vitoria de Guimaraes 56.5% (-0.23)
Draw 22.91%
Nottingham Forest 20.59% (+0.22)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.05% (+0.23)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.83% (+0.10)
Under 1.5 20.17% (-0.10)
Over 2.5 58.57% (+0.18)
Under 2.5 41.43% (-0.18)
Over 3.5 36.47% (+0.30)
Under 3.5 63.53% (-0.30)
Over 4.5 22.32% (+0.25)
Under 4.5 77.68% (-0.25)

First Half Winner

Vitoria de Guimaraes 42.1% (+0.25)
Draw 38.42% (-0.13)
Nottingham Forest 19.47% (-0.14)

Team To Score First

Vitoria de Guimaraes 59% (+0.39)
No Goal 5.5% (-0.05)
Nottingham Forest 35.5% (-0.35)

Corners

Over 8 64.17% (+0.08)
Equal 8 10.83% (+0.05)
Under 8 25% (-0.13)
Over 9 52.55% (+0.04)
Equal 9 11.62% (+0.05)
Under 9 35.83% (-0.08)
Over 10.5 41.14% (-0.02)
Under 10.5 58.86% (+0.02)

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 1.5 55.7% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 44.3% (+0.06)
Over 2.5 29.53% (+0.07)
Under 2.5 70.47% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 12.49% (+0.14)
Under 3.5 87.51% (-0.13)

Nottingham Forest Goals

Over 0.5 58.9% (+0.18)
Under 0.5 41.1% (-0.18)
Over 1.5 26.64% (+0.25)
Under 1.5 73.36% (-0.25)
Over 2.5 8.98% (+0.20)
Under 2.5 91.02% (-0.19)
Over 3.5 2.75% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 97.25% (-0.08)

Score analysis

Vitoria de Guimaraes 56.5%
Draw 22.92%
Nottingham Forest 20.59%
Vitoria de Guimaraes
2-1 @ 10.4% (-0.09)
1-0 @ 9.69% (-0.09)
2-0 @ 8.27% (-0.10)
3-1 @ 6.46%
3-0 @ 5.27% (-0.09)
3-2 @ 4.03% (-0.02)
Other @ 12.38% (+0.13)
Total : 56.5%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.41% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.62% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 5.5% (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.28% (+0.04)
Other @ 0.11% (+0.01)
Total : 22.92%
Nottingham Forest
1-2 @ 5.44% (+0.05)
0-1 @ 4.99% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 2.57% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 2.07% (+0.05)
2-3 @ 1.88% (+0.04)
0-3 @ 1%
Other @ 2.64% (+0.08)
Total : 20.59%