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Valencia logo
La Liga | Gameweek 7
Sep 25, 2021 at 3.15pm UK
Mestalla
Athletic Bilbao logo
Valencia
1 - 1
Athletic Bilbao
Maranhao (90+5')
Gomez (45+4'), Guillamon (47'), Jason (90+2'), Vallejo (90+8')
Gomez (82')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Martinez (69')
Garcia (49'), Berenguer (78')

Preview: Valencia vs. Athletic Bilbao - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Valencia and Athletic Bilbao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Valencia and Athletic Bilbao will square off in La Liga action on Saturday, as both sides look to bounce back from defeats last time out.

The hosts were handed a 3-1 loss by Sevilla on Wednesday, while the Basque outfit fell short against newly-promoted Rayo Vallecano.


Match preview

Valencia coach Jose Bordalas on September 19, 2021© Reuters

After an underwhelming campaign last time around, eventually finishing in 13th spot, Valencia began the new term in style, sitting on 10 points from their opening four outings, as they defeated Getafe, Alaves and Osasuna and drew with Granada, scoring nine goals and conceding just two in that time.

That saw them occupy second spot, but their unbeaten run was put to an end when they took on league leaders Real Madrid last week, despite the game looking set to finish in a far different way.

Jose Bordalas's side went ahead through Hugo Duro on the hour mark, and led heading into the final five minutes, only for Vinicius Junior to draw Los Blancos level, before Karim Benzema quickly completed the turnaround and snatched all three points for the Madrid giants.

Los Murcielagos were then handed their second straight defeat last time out, as Alejandro Gomez, Gonzalo Montiel and Rafa Mir all got on the scoresheet for Sevilla inside the first 25 minutes, with Duro pulling a goal back for his side to see the clash finish 3-1.

Despite that halt in form, Bordalas's men remain in the top four, and they will be keen to make a quick return to winning ways to establish themselves at the top end of the division.

Athletic Bilbao coach Marcelino reacts on August 8, 2021© Reuters

They meet an Athletic Bilbao side who will also look to bounce back from a defeat last time out, as newly-promoted Rayo Vallecano put an end to the Basque side's unbeaten start.

The game looked set to end 1-1 after Pathe Ciss's own goal had drawn Marcelino's side level, only for veteran striker Radamel Falcao to come off the bench and head in a 96th-minute winner to snatch all three points for the visitors.

Before that, Athletic Club had collected nine points from their first five outings, defeating Celta Vigo and Mallorca and earning more than commendable draws against Barcelona and defending champions Atletico Madrid, alongside a goalless stalemate with Elche on the opening day.

Marcelino has continued to ensure that his side remain solid defensively, with only third-placed Sevilla conceding fewer than the three goals that they have shipped so far, with Athletic Bilbao having played one more match.

They will hope to carry that forward and bounce back from the recent blip to kickstart another positive run and break back into the top six of the La Liga table.

Valencia La Liga form:
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • L

Athletic Bilbao La Liga form:
  • D
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • L



Team News

Athletic Bilbao's Inigo Martinez celebrates scoring their second goal with teammates on April 25, 2021© Reuters

Valencia have an unenviable injury list to deal with heading into Saturday's game, with key full-backs Jose Gaya and Thierry Correia ruled out alongside wingers Carlos Soler and Denis Cheryshev.

Goncalo Guedes and Maxi Gomez will continue to lead the line with the support of winger Hugo Duro, who has netted two goals in the first four league games of the season.

Despite conceding three goals quickly last time out, Gabriel and Omar Alderete will again partner up at the heart of a back four, shielding Giorgi Mamardashvili, who has kept hold of the gloves since the return of Jasper Cillesen from injury.

Athletic Bilbao made several changes to the side on Wednesday given their hectic schedule, and the likes of Alex Berenguer, Mikel Balenziaga and Inaki Williams should return to the starting XI.

Williams will likely lead the line alongside Raul Garcia, with Berenguer and captain Iker Muniain operating on the flanks.

They remain without several players through injury, as Oihan Sancet, Yeray Alvarez, Peru Nolaskoain and Yuri Berchiche are all sidelined.

Dani Vivian and Spain international Inigo Martinez form a formidable defensive pairing, and they should rejoin one another after Vivian was rested last time out.

Valencia possible starting lineup:
Mamardashvili; Foulquier, Gabriel, Alderete, Lato; Jason, Wass, Guillamon, Duro; Guedes, Gomez

Athletic Bilbao possible starting lineup:
Simon; De Marcos, Vivian, Martinez, Balenziaga; Berenguer, Zarraga, Vesga, Muniain; Williams, Garcia


SM words green background

We say: Valencia 1-1 Athletic Bilbao

Both sides boast strong squads and will be keen to bounce back from defeats after relatively impressive starts, and we cannot quite pick a winner.

With the hosts showing impressive ability going forward and the Basque side thriving defensively, this will certainly be an intriguing affair, and we are opting for a relatively low-scoring draw on Saturday.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 38.79%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 32.62% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.92%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 (11.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Valencia vs Athletic Bilbao

Valencia
63.2%
Draw
28.7%
Athletic Bilbao
8.0%
87
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rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid29226164204472
2Barcelona29197360342664
3GironaGirona29195559342562
4Athletic Bilbao29168550262456
5Atletico MadridAtletico29174854342055
6Real Sociedad291210742311146
7Real BetisBetis29101273433142
8Valencia28117103232040
9Villarreal29108114751-438
10Getafe2991193742-538
11Las PalmasLas Palmas29107122932-337
12Osasuna29106133343-1036
13AlavesAlaves2988132635-932
14Mallorca29612112535-1030
15Rayo Vallecano29611122538-1329
16Sevilla29610133644-828
17Celta Vigo2969143244-1227
18CadizCadiz29313132040-2022
19Granada2828183058-2814
20Almeria29110182857-2913

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