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Cadiz logo
La Liga | Gameweek 29
Apr 4, 2021 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio Ramon de Carranza
Valencia logo

Cadiz
2 - 1
Valencia

Cala (14'), Mauro (88')
Salvi (23'), Cala (26')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Gameiro (19')
Diakhaby (30'), Paulista (49')

Preview: Cadiz vs. Valencia - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Cadiz and Valencia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Valencia will be looking to make it back-to-back wins in La Liga for the first time since the end of 2019 when they travel to Cadiz on Sunday evening.

Los Che, who recorded a 2-1 win over Granada before the international break, are currently 12th in the table, while Cadiz occupy 15th position, four points behind their opponents this weekend.


Match preview

Cadiz's Alvaro Negredo celebrates scoring their second goal in January 2021© Reuters

Cadiz are bidding to make it back-to-back seasons at this level of football for the first time since the early 1990s, meaning that any position 17th or higher would be considered a successful campaign for the club.

A total of 29 points from 28 matches has left the promoted club in 15th spot, six points clear of the relegation zone, and they have certainly impressed for long spells of the season.

The Yellow Submarine have recorded standout wins over both Real Madrid and Barcelona this season, but the impressive victories will not mean anything unless they can secure their status as a top-flight club.

Cadiz picked up four points from two matches against Eibar and Alaves in the early stages of March but entered the international break off the back of a 2-1 defeat at Villarreal.

Head coach Alvaro Cervera will certainly be wary of suffering another defeat this weekend, and the fact that they have the third-worst home record in La Liga this season should hand Valencia confidence.

Valencia boss Javi Gracia celebrates with Uros Racic in January 2021© Reuters

As mentioned, Valencia have not managed to put together back-to-back wins in Spain's top flight since the latter stages of 2019, which is an incredible statistic considering their standing at this level of football.

Inconsistency has again been a major problem for Los Che in 2020-21, losing three and winning three of their last six matches, which has left them in 12th with 33 points from 28 matches.

Javi Gracia's side are only four points above their opponents on Sunday, while they have found it difficult on their travels this season, winning just two of their 14 top-flight matches away from Mestalla.

Valencia, who have two tough matches against Real Sociedad and Real Betis to come after this one, finished down in ninth position in La Liga last term.

Gracia's team are currently two points off ninth position and just three behind Granada in eighth, but it remains to be seen whether they are capable of putting together a run of results between now and the end of the season to secure a top-half spot.

Cadiz La Liga form:
  • L
  • D
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • L

Valencia La Liga form:
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • W


Team News

Cadiz players celebrate Anthony Lozano's goal against Real Madrid on October 17, 2020© Reuters

Cadiz will again definitely be without the services of Luismi Quezada this weekend through injury, while Anthony Lozano is likely to remain on the sidelines due to a knee problem.

Marcos Mauro has recovered from a calf problem but could start on the bench for the home side, with Fali and Juan Cala potentially featuring as the two centre-backs.

Alvaro Negredo is expected to start as the lone forward in a 4-2-3-1 formation as Ruben Sobrino, who is on loan from Valencia, is unable to face his parent club.

As for the visitors, Jasper Cillessen remains out of action with a knee problem, while Eliaquim Mangala and Cristiano Piccini are both still recovering from injuries.

Antonio Blanco could potentially get the nod in a wide area, having found the back of the net against Granada, meaning that Manu Vallejo and Yunus Musah might again start on the bench.

Goncalo Guedes played through the middle alongside Maxi Gomez in the team's last game before the international break and that could again be the case on Sunday.

Cadiz possible starting lineup:
Ledesma; Iza, Fali, Cala, Espino; Jonsson, Mari; Perea, Fernandez, Sanchez; Negredo

Valencia possible starting lineup:
Domenech; Correia, Gabriel, Diakhaby, Gaya; Wass, Soler, Racic, Blanco; Guedes, Gomez


SM words green background

We say: Cadiz 1-1 Valencia

Two of Cadiz's last five league matches have finished 1-1, and we are predicting the same scoreline on Sunday. As mentioned, Valencia have found it incredibly difficult to put back-to-back wins on the board despite the strength of their squad. Both teams will feel that they can harm the other in the final third of the field, but we have ultimately settled on a low-scoring draw.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a draw or an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Draw/Away:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 39.35%. A win for Cadiz had a probability of 31.17% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.78%) and 1-2 (7.71%). The likeliest Cadiz win was 1-0 (11.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Cadiz vs Valencia

Cadiz
18.4%
Draw
26.5%
Valencia
55.1%
49
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Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid32256170224881
2Barcelona32217464372770
3GironaGirona32215667402768
4Atletico MadridAtletico32194959382161
5Athletic Bilbao321610652302258
6Real Sociedad321312746341251
7Real BetisBetis32121284038248
8Valencia32138113534147
9Villarreal32119125155-442
10Getafe32913103844-640
11Osasuna32116153746-939
12Sevilla32910134145-437
13Las PalmasLas Palmas32107153039-937
14AlavesAlaves3298152838-1035
15Rayo Vallecano32713122739-1234
16Celta Vigo32710153747-1031
17Mallorca32613132638-1231
18CadizCadiz32413152245-2325
19Granada3239203361-2818
20Almeria32111203164-3314


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