Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 47.66%. A win for Montevideo City Torque had a probability of 26.41% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.22%) and 0-2 (8.83%). The likeliest Montevideo City Torque win was 1-0 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.