Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenix win with a probability of 45.38%. A win for River Plate had a probability of 28.14% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenix win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.98%) and 0-2 (8.42%). The likeliest River Plate win was 1-0 (8.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.

Result
River Plate	Draw	Fenix
28.14% ( 0.92)	26.48% ( 0.18)	45.38% ( -1.09)

Both teams to score 49.89% (

0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.54% (

-0.16)

54.46% (

0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.17% (

-0.14)

75.83% (

0.14)

River Plate Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.58% (

0.64)

34.42% (

-0.64)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.87% (

0.68)

71.13% (

-0.67)

Fenix Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.07% (

-0.59)

23.93% (

0.59)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.85% (

-0.85)

58.15% (

0.86)

Score Analysis

River Plate 28.14%

Fenix 45.37%

Draw 26.48%

River Plate	Draw	Fenix
1-0 @ 8.78% ( 0.21) 2-1 @ 6.7% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 4.69% ( 0.19) 3-1 @ 2.38% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 1.7% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 1.67% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.22% Total : 28.14%	1-1 @ 12.56% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 8.24% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.79% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.89% Total : 26.48%	0-1 @ 11.77% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 8.98% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 8.42% ( -0.24) 1-3 @ 4.28% ( -0.12) 0-3 @ 4.02% ( -0.19) 2-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.53% ( -0.07) 0-4 @ 1.44% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.65% Total : 45.37%