Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 3
Aug 22, 2026 7.00pm
Estadio Municipal Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla

Cerro Largo vs Defensor Sporting - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Cerro Largo

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Aug 15, 2026 11.30pm
Wanderers 1 - 1 Cerro Largo

Defensor Sporting

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Aug 16, 2026 7.00pm
Defensor 0 - 4 Liverpool

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Cerro Largo win with a probability of 36.48%. A win for Defensor Sporting has a probability of 31.99% and a draw has a probability of 31.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Largo win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (7.97%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Defensor Sporting win is 0-1 (11.18%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (14.38%).

Result

Cerro Largo 36.48% (+0.02)
Draw 31.54% (+0.01)
Defensor Sporting 31.99% (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.4%

Goals

Over 1.5 64.56% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 35.44% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 37.98%
Under 2.5 62.02%
Over 3.5 18.38% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 81.62% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 8.76% (+0.03)
Under 4.5 91.24% (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Cerro Largo 26.31% (+0.01)
Draw 49.02%
Defensor Sporting 24.67% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Cerro Largo 44.7% (+0.02)
No Goal 12% (-0.01)
Defensor Sporting 43.3%

Corners

Over 8 45.55% (+0.02)
Equal 8 12.18% (-0.01)
Under 8 42.27% (-0.01)
Over 9 34.28% (+0.04)
Equal 9 11.28%
Under 9 54.45% (-0.02)
Over 10.5 24.67% (+0.03)
Under 10.5 75.33% (-0.02)

Cerro Largo Goals

Over 1.5 30.91% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 69.09% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 10.35% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 89.65% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 2.81% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 97.19% (-0.02)

Defensor Sporting Goals

Over 0.5 63.97% (+0.07)
Under 0.5 36.03% (-0.07)
Over 1.5 27.61% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 72.39% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 8.79% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 91.21% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 2.27% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 97.73% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Cerro Largo 36.48%
Draw 31.54%
Defensor Sporting 31.99%
Cerro Largo
1-0 @ 12.27% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 7.97% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 6.63%
3-1 @ 2.83% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 2.45% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 1.64% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.69% (+0.01)
Total : 36.48%
Draw
1-1 @ 14.38%
0-0 @ 12% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.42% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.12% (+0.01)
Total : 31.54%
Defensor Sporting
0-1 @ 11.18% (+0.04)
1-2 @ 7.2% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 5.56%
1-3 @ 2.38% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.98% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.54%
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 31.99%

Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 5
Jul 13, 2026 11.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Municipal Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla
  • Diego Daguerre 18' goal
  • Lucas Correa 39' yellowcard
  • Santiago Franca 61' yellowcard
  • Alexis Piegas 70' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Martín Rabuñal  13'
  • goal Alexander Machado 28'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 3
Feb 21, 2026 12.30am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Luis Franzini
  • Brian Montenegro 52' goal
  • Nicolás Wunsch 68' yellowcard
  • Brian Lozano 77' yellowcard
  • Lucas de los Santos 77' yellowcard
  • Lautaro Navarro 90' yellowcard
  • Lautaro Navarro 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Emiliano Jourdan 46'
  • yellowcard Federico Sellecchia 78'
  • yellowcard Nicolás Bertocchi 85'
  • yellowcard Mario García 85'
Uruguayan Primera Division
Sep 13, 2025 10.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 1
May 25, 2025 12.00am
3
2
HT : 4 0
FT Estadio Luis Franzini
  • Guillermo De Los Santos 8' goal
  • Guillermo De Los Santos 8' goal
  • Maxi Gomez 28' goal
  • Maxi Gomez 28' goal
  • Jose Alvarez 59' goal
  • Jose Alvarez 59' goal
  • Maxi Gomez 60' yellowcard
  • Maxi Gomez 60' yellowcard
  • Mauricio Federico Amaro Viega 72' yellowcard
  • Mauricio Federico Amaro Viega 72' yellowcard
  • Diego Fernando Abreu Firenze 90'+6' yellowcard
  • Xavier Biscayzacu Vazquez 90'+6' yellowcard
  • Diego Fernando Abreu Firenze 90'+6' yellowcard
  • Xavier Biscayzacu Vazquez 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nicolas Bertochi 21'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Bertochi 21'
  • yellowcard Maximiliano Anasco 40'
  • yellowcard Maximiliano Anasco 40'
  • goal Matias Mir 72'
  • goal Matias Mir 72'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Assis 82'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Assis 82'
  • yellowcard Franco Andres Rossi Donazar 87'
  • yellowcard Franco Andres Rossi Donazar 87'
  • yellowcard Martin Gianoli 88'
  • yellowcard Martin Gianoli 88'
  • goal Alan Garcia 90'+3'
  • goal Alan Garcia 90'+3'
  • redcard Julian Contrera 90'+5'
  • redcard Julian Contrera 90'+5'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 7
Mar 23, 2025 12.15am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Luis Franzini
  • Guillermo De Los Santos 41' yellowcard
  • Guillermo De Los Santos 41' yellowcard
  • Kevin Estiven Prieto Machado 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Kevin Estiven Prieto Machado 45'+1' yellowcard
  • 75' goal
  • Jose Alvarez 88' yellowcard
  • Jose Alvarez 88' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Wunsch 90' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Wunsch 90' yellowcard
  • goal Facundo Peraza 50'
  • yellowcard Martin Gianoli 66'
  • yellowcard Martin Gianoli 66'
  • yellowcard Facundo Bonifazi 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Facundo Bonifazi 90'+5'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 14
Nov 27, 2024 9.45pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Municipal Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla
  • Alan Di Pippa 22' goal
  • Matias Mir 43' goal
  • Julian Contrera 58' yellowcard
  • Maximiliano Anasco 81' goal
  • yellowcard Francisco Barrios 50'
  • yellowcard Juan Jorge 65'