Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boston River win with a probability of 37.86%. A win for Montevideo Wanderers had a probability of 33.74% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boston River win was 1-0 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.87%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Montevideo Wanderers win was 0-1 (11.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.