Copa Sudamericana
May 7, 2025 11.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio 15 de Abril
  • Lucas Gamba 49' goal
  • yellowcard Ariel Martinez 63'
  • yellowcard Dylan Zuniga 82'
  • goal Junior Marabel 84'
  • goal Junior Marabel 88'

Union vs Palestino - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Union

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
Apr 24, 2025 3.00am
Mushuc Runa 3 - 0 Union

Palestino

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
Apr 25, 2025 1.30am
Palestino 2 - 1 Cruzeiro

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union win with a probability of 54.95%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Palestino had a probability of 20.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.93%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.72%), while for a Palestino win it was 0-1 (7.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result

Union 54.95% (+0.03)
Draw 24.94% (-0.02)
Palestino 20.1% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.19% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 44.82% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 55.17% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 23.58% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 76.41% (-0.02)
Over 4.5 10.47% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 89.53% (-0.02)

Union Goals

Over 0.5 79.95% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 20.05% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 47.73% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 52.26% (-0.03)

Palestino Goals

Over 0.5 57.77% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 42.23% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 21.36% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 78.63% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Union 54.95%
Draw 24.93%
Palestino 20.11%
Union
1-0 @ 13.6%
2-0 @ 10.93%
2-1 @ 9.42% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 5.86% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.05% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 2.35% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.18% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.03% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 54.95%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.72% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 8.47% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.06% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 24.93%
Palestino
0-1 @ 7.3% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 5.06% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.15% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.45%
2-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 20.11%

Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
Apr 9, 2025 11.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Municipal de La Cisterna
  • Bryan Carrasco 12' goal
  • Fernando Meza 52' yellowcard
  • Bryan Carrasco 68' yellowcard
  • Junior Marabel 90'+6' goal
  • yellowcard Francisco Gerometta 9'
  • yellowcard Ezequiel Ham 10'
  • redcard Ezequiel Ham 68'
  • yellowcard Mauricio Martinez 90'+5'