Club Friendlies 3
Aug 2, 2026 1.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion An der Alten Försterei
  • Ilyas Ansah 85' goal
  • Ilyas Ansah 90' goal
  • goal Yael Trepy 49'
  • goal Paul Mendy  67'

Union Berlin vs Cagliari - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Union Berlin

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Aug 1, 2026 1.00pm
Dynamo Dresden 2 - 1 Union Berlin

Cagliari

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 28, 2026 4.00pm
Cagliari 1 - 0 Modena

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 43.58%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 28.99% and a draw had a probability of 27.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 0-1 (8.28%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result

Union Berlin 43.58% (-0.61)
Draw 27.48% (+0.02)
Cagliari 28.99% (+0.69)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.88% (+0.21)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.65% (+0.36)
Under 1.5 27.35% (-0.36)
Over 2.5 47.97% (+0.58)
Under 2.5 52.03% (-0.58)
Over 3.5 27.02% (+0.25)
Under 3.5 72.98% (-0.25)
Over 4.5 14.53% (+0.17)
Under 4.5 85.47% (-0.16)

First Half Winner

Union Berlin 31.98% (+0.06)
Draw 45.58% (+0.01)
Cagliari 22.45% (-0.06)

Team To Score First

Union Berlin 54.93% (+0.15)
No Goal 7.77% (-0.15)
Cagliari 37.3%

Corners

Over 8 54.91% (-0.37)
Equal 8 11.84% (-0.05)
Under 8 33.25% (+0.41)
Over 9 43.12% (-0.29)
Equal 9 11.8% (-0.09)
Under 9 45.09% (+0.37)
Over 10.5 32.34% (-0.19)
Under 10.5 67.66% (+0.19)

Union Berlin Goals

Over 1.5 41.45% (-0.24)
Under 1.5 58.55% (+0.24)
Over 2.5 16.99% (-0.15)
Under 2.5 83.01% (+0.15)
Over 3.5 5.86% (-0.09)
Under 3.5 94.14% (+0.08)

Cagliari Goals

Over 0.5 64.38% (+0.69)
Under 0.5 35.62% (-0.70)
Over 1.5 30.27% (+0.83)
Under 1.5 69.73% (-0.83)
Over 2.5 10.49% (+0.47)
Under 2.5 89.51% (-0.46)
Over 3.5 2.98% (+0.15)
Under 3.5 97.02% (-0.16)

Score analysis

Union Berlin 43.58%
Draw 27.47%
Cagliari 28.99%
Union Berlin
1-0 @ 11.34% (-0.15)
2-1 @ 9.06% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 7.47% (-0.24)
3-1 @ 4.12% (-0.10)
3-0 @ 3.35%
3-2 @ 2.51% (-0.02)
Other @ 5.73% (-0.09)
Total : 43.58%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.65% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 7.77% (-0.15)
2-2 @ 5.77% (+0.10)
3-3 @ 1.15% (+0.05)
Other @ 0.13% (+0.02)
Total : 27.47%
Cagliari
0-1 @ 8.28% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 6.93% (+0.24)
0-2 @ 4.57% (+0.05)
1-3 @ 2.59% (+0.09)
2-3 @ 2.16% (+0.07)
0-3 @ 1.61% (+0.13)
Other @ 2.85% (+0.15)
Total : 28.99%