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Udinese logo
Serie A | Gameweek 4
Sep 20, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Friuli
Napoli logo

Udinese
0 - 4
Napoli


Samir (56'), Molina (66')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Osimhen (24'), Rrahmani (35'), Koulibaly (52'), Lozano (84')
Rui (82')

Preview: Udinese vs. Napoli - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Udinese and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Udinese will host Napoli in Serie A on Monday evening, in a game that sees two in-form sides face off, with both teams enjoying unbeaten starts to the season.

The home side have collected seven points this campaign, while Napoli are two points better off than their opponents, having won all of their opening three fixtures.


Match preview

Udinese head coach Luca Gotti pictured on August 22, 2021© Reuters

Udinese have enjoyed an impressive start to Serie A, winning two and drawing one of their opening three fixtures, scoring six goals and only conceding twice.

Last time out, they secured a 1-0 win away to Spezia, which came courtesy of a superb 89th-minute winner from substitute Lazar Samardzic.

The hosts are looking to begin the season with three victories from four matches for the third time in their history; they last achieved the feat in the 2014/15 campaign.

If the hosts are to collect the three points, then talisman Gerard Deulofeu will be important having scored in his last three Serie A home games, and a goal at the weekend for the 27-year-old would see him become the first Udinese player to net in four consecutive home league fixtures since Antonio Di Natale in December 2014.

Worryingly, their head-to-head record against Napoli is poor, having lost nine of the last 10 Serie A meetings, and their last victory against Monday's opponents come back in April 2016, when they emerged with a 3-1 win.

Napoli's Victor Osimhen celebrates scoring against Leicester City on September 16, 2021© Reuters

Luciano Spalletti's return to management has got off to a phenomenal start, with his Napoli side winning their first three Serie A fixtures, and they are unbeaten in all competitions, as Victor Osimhen's brace rescued a point for his side against Leicester City in the Europa League on Thursday.

Their last league fixture saw them come from behind to beat Juventus 2-1, with Matteo Politano and Kalidou Koulibaly getting on the score sheet for the side from Naples.

Like their opponents, Napoli have netted on six occasions in Serie A this term, and they have only conceded twice in their opening fixtures.

Napoli boss Spalletti is looking to win his first four Serie A games to begin a season for the second time in his career, after achieving it once before with Inter Milan in the 2017/18 campaign.

The away side scored seven goals in their two league fixtures against Udinese last term, so they will be confident of emerging victorious once again.

Udinese Serie A form:
  • D
  • W
  • W

Udinese form (all competitions):
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • W

Napoli Serie A form:
  • W
  • W
  • W

Napoli form (all competitions):
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • D



Team News

Udinese trio Gerard Deulofeu, Stefano Okaka and Samir celebrating their second goal on August 22, 2021© Reuters

Udinese are still without long term absentee Ilijia Nestorovski, who is out after suffering a cruciate ligament injury.

Luca Gotti has no fresh injury concerns and the Udinese boss could name an unchanged side, in a bid to continue his team's outstanding start to Serie A.

Napoli will be without Diego Demme, Stanislav Lobotka and Alex Meret, who are all unavailable with injury.

Dries Merten and Faouzi Ghoulam both returned to training during the week, and the pair could come back into the squad for Monday, though they will likely start on the bench.

Marco Rui picked up a knock against Juventus last weekend and the left-back missed the Leicester game, but he did train on Friday so he could feature against Udinese.

Udinese possible starting lineup:
Silvestri; Becao, Nuytinck, Samir; Molina, Arslan, Walace, Pereyra, Stryger Larsen; Pussetto, Deulofeu

Napoli possible starting lineup:
Ospina; Di Lorenzo, Manolas, Koulibaly, Rui; Anguissa, Ruiz, Elmas; Politano, Insigne, Osimhen


SM words green background

We say: Udinese 1-2 Napoli

Udinese will be confident going into this fixture, although given their recent record against Napoli, getting anything from the game may be tricky. The visitors should have enough quality to win this encounter, however it will be a tough game that could be close.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Away:data



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Written by
Ben Sully

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 52.14%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Udinese had a probability of 23.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.68%) and 0-2 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.42%), while for a Udinese win it was 1-0 (6.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Udinese vs Napoli

Udinese
14.4%
Draw
15.5%
Napoli
70.1%
291
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Napoli's Matteo Politano celebrates scoring their first goal with Lorenzo Insigne on September 11, 2021
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1Atalanta BCAtalanta15111338172134
2Napoli15102321101132
3Inter Milan1494134151931
4Fiorentina1494128101831
5Lazio15101430171331
6Juventus1569024101427
7AC Milan146442416822
8Bologna145722018222
9Udinese156271822-420
10Empoli164751416-219
11Torino165471720-319
12Roma154471821-316
13Parma153662125-415
14Genoa153661324-1115
15CagliariCagliari153571525-1014
16Lecce15348826-1813
17Como152671628-1212
18Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1540111837-1912
19Monza151771319-610
20VeneziaVenezia1523101327-149


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