Club Friendlies 3
Aug 1, 2026 3.00pm
3
3
HT : 3 1
FT Dacia Arena
  • Keinan Davis 18' goal
  • Nicolò Zaniolo 22' goal
  • Keinan Davis 37' goal
  • goal Sheraldo Becker 4'
  • goal Sheraldo Becker 49'
  • goal Ransford Königsdörffer 60'

Udinese vs Mainz 05 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Udinese

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 28, 2026 4.30pm
Udinese 1 - 2 Shabab Al-Ahli

Mainz 05

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 31, 2026 3.00pm
Mainz 1 - 0 Shabab Al-Ahli

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 44.9%. A win for Udinese had a probability of 29.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.1%) and 0-2 (7.89%). The likeliest Udinese win was 1-0 (8.21%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.

Result

Udinese 29.5% ▲ (+0.31)
Draw 25.7%
Mainz 05 44.9% ▼ (-0.21)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.2% ▲ (+0.31)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.29% ▲ (+0.23)
Under 1.5 25.71% ▼ (-0.22)
Over 2.5 49.4% ▲ (+0.20)
Under 2.5 50.6% ▼ (-0.20)
Over 3.5 27.5% ▲ (+0.20)
Under 3.5 72.5% ▼ (-0.21)
Over 4.5 14.96% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 4.5 85.04% ▼ (-0.12)

Udinese Goals

Over 1.5 30.33% ▲ (+0.36)
Under 1.5 69.67% ▼ (-0.36)
Over 2.5 10.59% ▲ (+0.20)
Under 2.5 89.41% ▼ (-0.21)
Over 3.5 2.98% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 3.5 97.02% ▼ (-0.08)

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5 75.35% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 0.5 24.65% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 1.5 42.8% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 1.5 57.2% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 2.5 18.49% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 2.5 81.51% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 3.5 6.42% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 93.58% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Udinese 29.52%
Draw 25.7%
Mainz 05 44.89%
Udinese
1-0 @ 8.21% ▲ (+0.03)
2-1 @ 7.07% ▲ (+0.06)
2-0 @ 4.77% ▲ (+0.06)
3-1 @ 2.73% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 2.04% ▲ (+0.05)
3-0 @ 1.83% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 2.87% ▲ (+0.09)
Total : 29.52%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.22% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 7.08% ▼ (-0.06)
2-2 @ 5.28% ▲ (+0.05)
3-3 @ 1.01% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.7%
Mainz 05
0-1 @ 10.53% ▼ (-0.09)
1-2 @ 9.1% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 7.89% ▼ (-0.07)
1-3 @ 4.53% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 3.91% ▼ (-0.05)
2-3 @ 2.62% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 6.31% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 44.89%