England national football team
European Under-21s Championship | Quarter-Finals
Jul 2, 2023 at 5pm UK
Ramaz Shengelias Sakhelobis Stadioni
Portugal national football team

England U21s
1 - 0
Portugal U21s

Gordon (34')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Match Report

England set up an Under-21 Euro 2023 semi-final clash with Israel thanks to a nail-biting 1-0 win over Portugal Under-21s in Sunday's quarter-final.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's European Under-21 Championship clash between England Under-21s and Portugal Under-21s, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

England Under-21s

All competitions
European Under-21 Championship
Last Game: England U21s 2-0 Germany U21s
Wednesday, June 28 at 5pm in European Under-21 Championship

Portugal Under-21s

All competitions
Last Game: Portugal U21s 2-1 Belgium U21s
Tuesday, June 27 at 5pm in European Under-21 Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal Under-21s win with a probability of 47.07%. A win for England Under-21s had a probability of 29.93% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portugal Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.42%) and 0-2 (6.65%). The likeliest England Under-21s win was 2-1 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that England Under-21s would win this match.

Result
England Under-21sDrawPortugal Under-21s
29.93% (0.421 0.42)23% (0.042999999999999 0.04)47.07% (-0.462 -0.46)
Both teams to score 62.64% (0.121 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.71% (0.042000000000002 0.04)38.28% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.43% (0.041999999999994 0.04)60.56% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
England Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.13% (0.285 0.28)24.87% (-0.286 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.52% (0.395 0.4)59.47% (-0.396 -0.4)
Portugal Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.37% (-0.157 -0.16)16.62% (0.157 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.54% (-0.283 -0.28)46.45% (0.283 0.28)
Score Analysis
    England Under-21s 29.93%
    Portugal Under-21s 47.07%
    Draw 23%
England Under-21sDrawPortugal Under-21s
2-1 @ 7.18% (0.067 0.07)
1-0 @ 5.75% (0.036 0.04)
2-0 @ 4% (0.058 0.06)
3-1 @ 3.33% (0.058 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.99% (0.036 0.04)
3-0 @ 1.86% (0.042 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.16% (0.029 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.04% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 29.93%
1-1 @ 10.32% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.44% (0.026 0.03)
0-0 @ 4.13% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.79% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23%
1-2 @ 9.26% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
0-1 @ 7.42% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-2 @ 6.65% (-0.084000000000001 -0.08)
1-3 @ 5.54% (-0.053 -0.05)
0-3 @ 3.98% (-0.071 -0.07)
2-3 @ 3.85% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 2.49% (-0.037 -0.04)
0-4 @ 1.79% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-4 @ 1.73% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 4.36%
Total : 47.07%

How you voted: England U21s vs Portugal U21s

England Under-21s
90.6%
Portugal Under-21s
9.4%
53
Head to Head
Mar 28, 2021 8pm
Group Stage
Portugal U21s
2-0
England U21s
Mota (64'), Trincao (74' pen.)
Correia (52'), Ramos (90+1')

Godfrey (67')
> Match Report
Jun 18, 2015 7.45pm
Group Stage
England U21s
0-1
Portugal U21s

Gibson (48'), Jenkinson (62')
Mario (57')
Silva (49'), Mario (83')
> Match Report
Nov 13, 2014 7.45pm
U21 Friendlies
England U21s
3-1
Portugal U21s
Ings (6', 58'), Jenkinson (44')
Silva (48')
> Match Report