Portugal national football team
European Under-21s Championship | Group Stage
Jun 24, 2023 at 5pm UK
Mikheil Meskhis sakhelobis Stadioni

Portugal U21s
1 - 1
Netherlands U21s

Almeida (20')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Brobbey (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's European Under-21 Championship clash between Portugal Under-21s and Netherlands Under-21s, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portugal Under-21s

All competitions
Last Game: Georgia U21s 2-0 Portugal U21s
Wednesday, June 21 at 5pm in European Under-21 Championship

Netherlands Under-21s

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Last Game: Belgium U21s 0-0 Netherlands U21s
Wednesday, June 21 at 5pm in European Under-21 Championship
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands Under-21s win with a probability of 46.56%. A win for Portugal Under-21s had a probability of 28.51% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands Under-21s win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.32%) and 0-2 (7.9%). The likeliest Portugal Under-21s win was 1-0 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Portugal Under-21sDrawNetherlands Under-21s
28.51% (0.026 0.03)24.94% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)46.56% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 54.95%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.02% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)47.98% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.85% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)70.15% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Portugal Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.25% (0.015000000000001 0.02)30.75% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.99% (0.017000000000003 0.02)67.01% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Netherlands Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.35% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)20.65% (0.017999999999997 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.77% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)53.23% (0.026999999999994 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Portugal Under-21s 28.51%
    Netherlands Under-21s 46.55%
    Draw 24.93%
Portugal Under-21sDrawNetherlands Under-21s
1-0 @ 7.49% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 6.97% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-0 @ 4.42% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.74% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-2 @ 2.16% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 1.74% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3%
Total : 28.51%
1-1 @ 11.81%
0-0 @ 6.35% (0.0029999999999992 0)
2-2 @ 5.49% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.93%
0-1 @ 10.01%
1-2 @ 9.32% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 7.9% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 4.9% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 4.15% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.89% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-4 @ 1.93% (-0.002 -0)
0-4 @ 1.64% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 1.14% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 46.55%

How you voted: Portugal U21s vs Netherlands U21s

Portugal Under-21s
33.3%
Draw
33.3%
Netherlands Under-21s
33.3%
36
Head to Head
Nov 18, 2020 7.30pm
Qualifying Round
Portugal U21s
2-1
Netherlands U21s
Vieira (2', 53')
Leite (10'), Correia (36'), Braganca (86'), Fernandes (89')
Gakpo (42')
Reis (22'), Scherpen (66'), Bakker (87'), Kluivert (89')
Oct 11, 2019 5.30pm
Qualifying Round
Netherlands U21s
4-2
Portugal U21s
Boadu (8', 84'), Koopmeiners (50' pen.), Stengs (94')
De Wit (30'), Kluivert (53'), Wijndal (63'), Zeefuik (91')
Queiros (42'), Fernandes (64' pen.)
Leite (45'), Jota (73')