Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands Under-21s win with a probability of 46.56%. A win for Portugal Under-21s had a probability of 28.51% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands Under-21s win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.32%) and 0-2 (7.9%). The likeliest Portugal Under-21s win was 1-0 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.