European Under-21s Championship | Group Stage

Jun 25, 2023 at 5pm UK

Ramaz Shengelias Sakhelobis Stadioni

England U21s
2 - 0
Israel U21s

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Match Report

Anthony Gordon and Emile Smith Rowe find the net as England Under-21s seal a spot in the Euro 2023 quarter-finals with a 2-0 win over Israel in Group C.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's European Under-21 Championship clash between England Under-21s and Israel Under-21s, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

England Under-21s

All competitions

European Under-21 Championship

Last Game: Czech Rep. U21s 0-2 England U21s
Thursday, June 22 at 5pm in European Under-21 Championship

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	England Under-21s	1	2	3
2	Germany Under-21s	1	0	1
3	Israel Under-21s	1	0	1
4	Czech Republic Under-21s	1	-2	0

Israel Under-21s

All competitions

Last Game: Germany U21s 1-1 Israel U21s
Thursday, June 22 at 5pm in European Under-21 Championship

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	England Under-21s	1	2	3
2	Germany Under-21s	1	0	1
3	Israel Under-21s	1	0	1
4	Czech Republic Under-21s	1	-2	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England Under-21s win with a probability of 47.03%. A win for Israel Under-21s had a probability of 28.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a England Under-21s win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Israel Under-21s win was 0-1 (7.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that England Under-21s would win this match.

Result
England Under-21s	Draw	Israel Under-21s
47.03% ( -0.03)	24.45% ( 0.02)	28.52% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 56.58% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.15% (

-0.09)

45.84% (

0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.84% (

-0.08)

68.16% (

0.08)

England Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.41% (

-0.05)

19.59% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.47% (

-0.08)

51.52% (

0.08)

Israel Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.36% (

-0.03)

29.63% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.32% (

-0.04)

65.68% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

England Under-21s 47.03%

Israel Under-21s 28.52%

Draw 24.45%

England Under-21s	Draw	Israel Under-21s
1-0 @ 9.46% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.38% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.71% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.1% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.19% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.1% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.08% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.71% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.26% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.03% Total : 47.03%	1-1 @ 11.51% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.81% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.71% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.45%	0-1 @ 7.06% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.29% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.84% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.31% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.74% ( 0) Other @ 3.28% Total : 28.52%