European Under-21s Championship | Group Stage

Jun 28, 2023 at 5pm UK

Chele Arena

England U21s
2 - 0
Germany U21s

FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's European Under-21 Championship clash between England Under-21s and Germany Under-21s, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

England Under-21s

All competitions

European Under-21 Championship

Last Game: England U21s 2-0 Israel U21s
Sunday, June 25 at 5pm in European Under-21 Championship

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	England Under-21s	2	4	6
2	Czech Republic Under-21s	2	-1	3
3	Germany Under-21s	2	-1	1
4	Israel Under-21s	2	-2	1

Germany Under-21s

All competitions

European Under-21 Championship

Last Game: Czech Rep. U21s 2-1 Germany U21s
Sunday, June 25 at 5pm in European Under-21 Championship

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	England Under-21s	2	4	6
2	Czech Republic Under-21s	2	-1	3
3	Germany Under-21s	2	-1	1
4	Israel Under-21s	2	-2	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England Under-21s win with a probability of 40.05%. A win for Germany Under-21s had a probability of 37.33% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a England Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.76%) and 2-0 (5%). The likeliest Germany Under-21s win was 1-2 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that England Under-21s would win this match.

Result
England Under-21s	Draw	Germany Under-21s
40.05% ( 1.31)	22.61% ( -0.19)	37.33% ( -1.13)

Both teams to score 66.85% (

0.68)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.11% (

0.9)

33.88% (

-0.9)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.26% (

1.02)

55.73% (

-1.02)

England Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.35% (

0.95)

17.64% (

-0.95)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.75% (

1.63)

48.24% (

-1.63)

Germany Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.16% (

-0.12)

18.83% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.72% (

-0.2)

50.27% (

0.2)

Score Analysis

England Under-21s 40.05%

Germany Under-21s 37.33%

Draw 22.61%

England Under-21s	Draw	Germany Under-21s
2-1 @ 8.35% ( 0.1) 1-0 @ 5.76% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 5% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 4.83% ( 0.2) 3-2 @ 4.03% ( 0.15) 3-0 @ 2.89% ( 0.13) 4-1 @ 2.09% ( 0.15) 4-2 @ 1.75% ( 0.12) 4-0 @ 1.25% ( 0.09) 4-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.12% Total : 40.05%	1-1 @ 9.62% ( -0.19) 2-2 @ 6.97% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 3.32% ( -0.16) 3-3 @ 2.24% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.46% Total : 22.61%	1-2 @ 8.03% ( -0.19) 0-1 @ 5.55% ( -0.29) 0-2 @ 4.63% ( -0.26) 1-3 @ 4.47% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 3.88% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.58% ( -0.15) 1-4 @ 1.87% ( -0.06) 2-4 @ 1.62% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.07) 3-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.7% Total : 37.33%