Portugal national football team
European Under-21s Championship | Group Stage
Jun 27, 2023 at 5pm UK
Mikheil Meskhis sakhelobis Stadioni

Portugal U21s
2 - 1
Belgium U21s

Neves (56'), Dantas (89' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-0)
Vertessen (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's European Under-21 Championship clash between Portugal Under-21s and Belgium Under-21s, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Portugal U21s 1-1 Netherlands U21s
Saturday, June 24 at 5pm in European Under-21 Championship
All competitions
Last Game: Georgia U21s 2-2 Belgium U21s
Saturday, June 24 at 5pm in European Under-21 Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal Under-21s win with a probability of 49.21%. A win for Belgium Under-21s had a probability of 27.05% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portugal Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.11%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest Belgium Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Portugal Under-21s in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Portugal Under-21s.

Result
Portugal Under-21sDrawBelgium Under-21s
49.21% (0.154 0.15)23.74% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)27.05% (-0.101 -0.1)
Both teams to score 57.82% (0.107 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.31% (0.18 0.18)43.69% (-0.183 -0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.92% (0.177 0.18)66.08% (-0.178 -0.18)
Portugal Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.12% (0.128 0.13)17.87% (-0.13 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.35% (0.22 0.22)48.65% (-0.221 -0.22)
Belgium Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.4% (0.02000000000001 0.02)29.59% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.37% (0.024999999999999 0.02)65.63% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Portugal Under-21s 49.21%
    Belgium Under-21s 27.05%
    Draw 23.74%
Portugal Under-21sDrawBelgium Under-21s
2-1 @ 9.55% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 9.11% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 7.84% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 5.48% (0.029000000000001 0.03)
3-0 @ 4.5% (0.021 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.34% (0.02 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.36% (0.022 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.94% (0.017 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.44% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 49.21%
1-1 @ 11.09% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.81% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.29% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.35% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 23.74%
1-2 @ 6.75% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
0-1 @ 6.44% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
0-2 @ 3.92% (-0.027 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.74% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 2.36% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 1.59% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 27.05%

How you voted: Portugal U21s vs Belgium U21s

Portugal Under-21s
56.5%
Draw
26.1%
Belgium Under-21s
17.4%
46