Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal Under-21s win with a probability of 49.21%. A win for Belgium Under-21s had a probability of 27.05% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portugal Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.11%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest Belgium Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Portugal Under-21s in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Portugal Under-21s.