European Under-19s Championship | Group Stage

Jul 21, 2024 at 7pm UK

Inver Park

Ukraine U19s
3 - 2
Italy U19s

Synchuk (7'), Krevsun (54'), Ponomarenko (74' pen.)
Vashchenko (33'), Ponomarenko (42'), Mykhavko (49'), Matkevych (89')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Ebone (34'), Romano (52')
Corradi (31')
Corradi (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's European Under-19s Championship clash between Ukraine Under-19s and Italy Under-19s, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ukraine Under-19s

All competitions

Last Game: Norway U19s 0-0 Ukraine U19s
Thursday, July 18 at 3.30pm in European Under-19s Championship

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Ukraine Under-19s	3	2	7
2	France Under-19s	3	9	6
3	England Under-19s	3	-4	4
4	Turkey Under-19s	3	-7	0

Italy Under-19s

All competitions

European Under-19s Championship

Last Game: N. Ireland U19s 0-3 Italy U19s
Thursday, July 18 at 7pm in European Under-19s Championship

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Portugal Under-19s	3	7	9
2	Italy Under-19s	3	0	4
3	Poland Under-19s	3	0	4
4	Malta Under-19s	3	-7	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy Under-19s win with a probability of 59.66%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Ukraine Under-19s had a probability of 19.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Italy Under-19s win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.63%) and 0-2 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.97%), while for a Ukraine Under-19s win it was 2-1 (5.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.

Result
Ukraine Under-19s	Draw	Italy Under-19s
19.04% ( -6.2)	21.29% ( -1.64)	59.66% ( 7.83)

Both teams to score 55.72% (

-3.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.39% (

-0.08)

41.61% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.99% (

-0.08)

64.01% (

0.07)

Ukraine Under-19s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.48% (

-5.68)

35.52% (

5.67)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.71% (

-6.36)

72.28% (

6.34)

Italy Under-19s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.41% (

2.52)

13.58% (

-2.53)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.31% (

4.82)

40.69% (

-4.83)

Score Analysis

Ukraine Under-19s 19.04%

Italy Under-19s 59.66%

Draw 21.29%

Ukraine Under-19s	Draw	Italy Under-19s
2-1 @ 5.16% ( -1.26) 1-0 @ 4.99% ( -0.82) 2-0 @ 2.58% ( -0.93) 3-1 @ 1.78% ( -0.81) 3-2 @ 1.78% ( -0.58) Other @ 2.75% Total : 19.04%	1-1 @ 9.97% ( -0.64) 2-2 @ 5.15% ( -0.71) 0-0 @ 4.82% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.25) Other @ 0.17% Total : 21.29%	1-2 @ 9.95% ( 0.26) 0-1 @ 9.63% ( 0.85) 0-2 @ 9.61% ( 1.6) 1-3 @ 6.62% ( 0.73) 0-3 @ 6.4% ( 1.52) 2-3 @ 3.43% ( -0.14) 1-4 @ 3.31% ( 0.62) 0-4 @ 3.19% ( 0.97) 2-4 @ 1.71% ( 0.08) 1-5 @ 1.32% ( 0.34) 0-5 @ 1.28% ( 0.46) Other @ 3.21% Total : 59.66%