Conference League Gameweek 3
Nov 5, 2026 5.45pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Stockhorn Arena
  • Jamie McCart 22' goal
  • Brighton Labeau 34' goal
  • Nico Maier 37' yellowcard
  • Furkan Dursun 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Furkan Dursun 56' goal
  • Nils Reichmuth 59' yellowcard
  • Jan Bamert 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jamie McCart 77'
  • goal Stuart Findlay 82'

Thun vs Hearts - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Thun

All competitions

Hearts

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 43%. A win for Thun had a probability of 33.56% and a draw had a probability of 23.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.25%) and 0-2 (6.15%). The likeliest Thun win was 2-1 (7.75%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.

Result

Thun 33.56%
Draw 23.43%
Hearts 43%

Both Teams to Score: 

60.57% ▲ (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.58% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 18.42% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 60.69% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 39.31% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 37.76% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 62.24% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 4.5 23.45% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 4.5 76.55% ▼ (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Thun 28.07%
Draw 37.31%
Hearts 34.62%

Team To Score First

Thun 43.06%
No Goal 4.89% ▼ (-0.02)
Hearts 52.05% ▲ (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 61.98%
Equal 8 10.28%
Under 8 27.74%
Over 9 51.16%
Equal 9 10.82%
Under 9 38.02%
Over 10.5 40.65%
Under 10.5 59.35%

Thun Goals

Over 1.5 39.22% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 60.78% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 17.2% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 82.8% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 6.2% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 93.8% ▼ (-0.02)

Hearts Goals

Over 0.5 75.84% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 0.5 24.16% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 1.5 47.03% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 52.97% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 22.72% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 77.28% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 8.98% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 91.02% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Thun 33.56%
Draw 23.43%
Hearts 43%
Thun
2-1 @ 7.75%
1-0 @ 6.27% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 4.52%
3-1 @ 3.58%
3-2 @ 2.97% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 2.52%
Other @ 5.95%
Total : 33.56%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.23% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 6.13% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.89% ▼ (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.93%
Other @ 0.25% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 23.43%
Hearts
1-2 @ 9.06%
0-1 @ 7.25% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 6.15% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 4.59%
2-3 @ 3.62% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 3.6%
Other @ 8.73%
Total : 43%