Swiss Super League Gameweek 11
Oct 25, 2026 1.00pm
Stockhorn Arena

Thun vs Lugano - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Thun

All competitions
Swiss Super League
Last game
Oct 10, 2026 5.00pm
FC Zurich 4 - 2 Thun
Goals scored
17
Top scorer
Brighton Labeau

Lugano

All competitions
Swiss Super League
Last game
Oct 10, 2026 5.00pm
Lugano 4 - 0 Luzern
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Dereck Moncada

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Lugano win with a probability of 61.97%. A draw has a probability of 20.8% and a win for Thun has a probability of 17.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lugano win is 0-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.62%) and 0-2 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.89%) , while for a Thun win it is 1-0 (4.66%).

Result

Thun 17.22% ▼ (-3.20)
Draw 20.8% ▼ (-0.85)
Lugano 61.97% ▲ (+4.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.78% ▼ (-1.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.23% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 19.77% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 59.77% ▲ (+0.77)
Under 2.5 40.23% ▼ (-0.77)
Over 3.5 38.34% ▲ (+0.83)
Under 3.5 61.66% ▼ (-0.80)
Over 4.5 25.31% ▲ (+0.60)
Under 4.5 74.69% ▼ (-0.61)

First Half Winner

Thun 20.32% ▼ (-1.31)
Draw 35.3% ▼ (-2.61)
Lugano 44.38% ▲ (+3.90)

Team To Score First

Thun 33.15% ▼ (-0.01)
No Goal 5.28% ▼ (-0.07)
Lugano 61.57% ▲ (+0.08)

Corners

Over 8 56.51% ▲ (+3.65)
Equal 8 11.1% ▼ (-0.38)
Under 8 32.39% ▼ (-3.29)
Over 9 45.3% ▲ (+3.68)
Equal 9 11.21% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 9 43.49% ▼ (-3.65)
Over 10.5 34.87% ▲ (+3.39)
Under 10.5 65.13% ▼ (-3.40)

Thun Goals

Over 1.5 22.89% ▼ (-2.97)
Under 1.5 77.11% ▲ (+2.97)
Over 2.5 7.46% ▼ (-1.49)
Under 2.5 92.54% ▲ (+1.50)
Over 3.5 2.22% ▼ (-0.46)
Under 3.5 97.78% ▲ (+0.47)

Lugano Goals

Over 0.5 85.08% ▲ (+1.85)
Under 0.5 14.92% ▼ (-1.85)
Over 1.5 60.38% ▲ (+3.03)
Under 1.5 39.62% ▼ (-3.03)
Over 2.5 34.59% ▲ (+2.78)
Under 2.5 65.41% ▼ (-2.78)
Over 3.5 16.75% ▲ (+1.64)
Under 3.5 83.25% ▼ (-1.63)

Score analysis

Thun 17.23%
Draw 20.81%
Lugano 61.97%
Thun
1-0 @ 4.66% ▼ (-0.46)
2-1 @ 4.45% ▼ (-0.79)
2-0 @ 2.15% ▼ (-0.57)
3-2 @ 1.61% ▼ (-0.33)
3-1 @ 1.52% ▼ (-0.32)
Other @ 2% ▼ (-0.51)
Total : 17.23%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.89% ▼ (-0.59)
0-0 @ 5.28% ▼ (-0.07)
2-2 @ 5.15% ▼ (-0.09)
3-3 @ 1.27% ▼ (-0.14)
Other @ 0.22% ▲ (+0.05)
Total : 20.81%
Lugano
0-1 @ 9.84% ▲ (+0.50)
1-2 @ 9.62% ▲ (+0.28)
0-2 @ 9.41% ▲ (+0.40)
0-3 @ 6.52% ▲ (+0.68)
1-3 @ 6.37% ▲ (+0.66)
2-3 @ 3.68% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 16.53% ▲ (+1.59)
Total : 61.97%

Head to Head

Swiss Super League Playoffs Gameweek 34
Apr 25, 2026 7.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stockhorn Arena
  • Lucien Dähler 5' yellowcard
  • Valmir Matoshi 62' yellowcard
  • Franz-Ethan Meichtry 62' yellowcard
  • Brighton Labeau 74' yellowcard
  • Furkan Dursun 74' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mohamed Belhadj Mahmoud 46'
  • yellowcard Kevin Behrens 57'
  • yellowcard Pablo Acebal 77'
  • yellowcard Mattia Bottani 88'
  • yellowcard Elias Pihlström 88'
  • yellowcard Mattia Bottani 89'
  • yellowcard Elias Pihlström 89'
  • yellowcard Pablo Acebal 90'+7'
Swiss Super League
Apr 4, 2026 5.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio di Cornaredo
  • Daniel Dos Santos 59' goal
  • Martim Marques 71' yellowcard
  • Pablo Acebal 84' yellowcard
  • Mattia Bottani 84' yellowcard
  • Mohamed Belhadj Mahmoud 84' yellowcard
  • Elias Pihlström 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Furkan Dursun 67'
  • yellowcard Nils Reichmuth 67'
  • yellowcard Valmir Matoshi 67'
  • yellowcard Justin Roth 79'
  • yellowcard Marc Gutbub 86'
Swiss Super League
Nov 22, 2025 7.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Swiss Super League Gameweek 1
Jul 27, 2025 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Swiss Super League Gameweek 31
Jul 15, 2020 7.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Cornaredo
  • Jonathan Sabbatini 87' yellowcard
  • Stefano Guidotti 89' goal
  • goal Nias Hefti 55'
  • yellowcard Chris Kablan 74'
  • yellowcard Basil Stillhart 82'
Swiss Super League Gameweek 21
Feb 9, 2020 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 2 1
FT Stockhorn Arena
  • Chris Kablan 17' goal
  • Basil Stillhart 21' goal
  • Ridge Munsy 49' yellowcard
  • Simone Rapp 53' yellowcard
  • Ridge Munsy 58' goal
  • Chris Kablan 90' yellowcard
  • goal Mijat Maric 41'
  • yellowcard Marco Aratore 53'
  • goal Nicola Sutter 62' (OG)
  • yellowcard Olivier Custodio 84'