Conference League Gameweek 1
Oct 15, 2026 8.00pm
De Grolsch Veste

FC Twente vs Thun - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Twente

All competitions

Thun

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a FC Twente win with a probability of 59.74%. A win for Thun has a probability of 20.36% and a draw has a probability of 19.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win is 2-1 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (7.19%) and 1-0 (6.39%). The likeliest Thun win is 1-2 (5.48%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (8.07%).

Result

FC Twente 59.74% ▼ (-0.11)
Draw 19.9%
Thun 20.36% ▲ (+0.13)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.87% ▲ (+0.20)

Goals

Over 1.5 86.53% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 1.5 13.47% ▼ (-0.13)
Over 2.5 68.98% ▲ (+0.19)
Under 2.5 31.02% ▼ (-0.20)
Over 3.5 46.38% ▲ (+0.21)
Under 3.5 53.62% ▼ (-0.21)
Over 4.5 32.41% ▲ (+0.18)
Under 4.5 67.59% ▼ (-0.18)

First Half Winner

FC Twente 46.35% ▲ (+0.17)
Draw 35.57% ▼ (-0.08)
Thun 18.08% ▼ (-0.10)

Team To Score First

FC Twente 64.01% ▼ (-0.07)
No Goal 3.44% ▼ (-0.03)
Thun 32.55% ▲ (+0.09)

Corners

Over 8 62.66% ▼ (-0.02)
Equal 8 9.63% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 8 27.72% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 9 52.44% ▼ (-0.04)
Equal 9 10.21% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 9 37.34% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 10.5 42.4% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 10.5 57.6% ▲ (+0.04)

FC Twente Goals

Over 1.5 63.99% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 1.5 36.01% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 2.5 38.59% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 2.5 61.41% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 3.5 20.74% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 3.5 79.26% ▼ (-0.05)

Thun Goals

Over 0.5 57.09% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 0.5 42.91% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 1.5 29.1% ▲ (+0.23)
Under 1.5 70.9% ▼ (-0.22)
Over 2.5 11.51% ▲ (+0.18)
Under 2.5 88.49% ▼ (-0.19)
Over 3.5 4.05% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 3.5 95.95% ▼ (-0.07)

Score analysis

FC Twente 59.73%
Draw 19.91%
Thun 20.38%
FC Twente
2-1 @ 10.11% ▼ (-0.04)
2-0 @ 7.19% ▼ (-0.06)
1-0 @ 6.39% ▼ (-0.06)
3-1 @ 6.15% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5.75% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.98%
Other @ 20.16% ▲ (+0.06)
Total : 59.73%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.07% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.85% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 3.44% ▼ (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.97% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 19.91%
Thun
1-2 @ 5.48% ▲ (+0.03)
0-1 @ 3.66% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 2.28%
2-3 @ 2.25% ▲ (+0.05)
1-3 @ 1.98% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 1.26% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 3.47% ▲ (+0.07)
Total : 20.38%