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28'
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73'
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86'
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David Rebelo
39'
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90'+1'
Penafiel vs Leca - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leca win with a probability of 41.27%. A win for Penafiel had a probability of 33.59% and a draw had a probability of 25.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leca win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (6.64%). The likeliest Penafiel win was 1-0 (8.35%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.
Result
Penafiel
33.59%
▲
(+0.65)
Draw
25.14%
▲
(+0.07)
Leca
41.27%
▼
(-0.75)
Both Teams to Score:
52.76%
▼
(-0.03)
Goals
Over 1.5
75.41%
▲
(+0.43)
Under 1.5
24.59%
▼
(-0.43)
Over 2.5
52.35%
▲
(+0.40)
Under 2.5
47.65%
▼
(-0.40)
Over 3.5
30.85%
▲
(+1.11)
Under 3.5
69.15%
▼
(-1.10)
Over 4.5
17.86%
▲
(+0.79)
Under 4.5
82.14%
▼
(-0.80)
First Half Winner
Penafiel
26.61%
▲
(+1.66)
Draw
45.09%
▼
(-0.58)
Leca
28.3%
▼
(-1.08)
Team To Score First
Penafiel
45.14%
▼
(-0.50)
No Goal
6.81%
▼
(-0.15)
Leca
48.05%
▲
(+0.65)
Corners
Over 8
47.85%
▲
(+3.28)
Equal 8
11.9%
▼
(-0.30)
Under 8
40.26%
▼
(-2.97)
Over 9
36.63%
▲
(+3.22)
Equal 9
11.21%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 9
52.15%
▼
(-3.28)
Over 10.5
26.9%
▲
(+2.88)
Under 10.5
73.1%
▼
(-2.89)
Penafiel Goals
Over 1.5
35.17%
▲
(+0.79)
Under 1.5
64.83%
▼
(-0.79)
Over 2.5
14.6%
▲
(+0.76)
Under 2.5
85.4%
▼
(-0.76)
Over 3.5
4.91%
▲
(+0.41)
Under 3.5
95.09%
▼
(-0.40)
Leca Goals
Over 0.5
72.53%
▼
(-0.40)
Under 0.5
27.47%
▲
(+0.40)
Over 1.5
41.38%
▲
(+0.20)
Under 1.5
58.62%
▼
(-0.20)
Over 2.5
18.07%
▲
(+0.11)
Under 2.5
81.93%
▼
(-0.10)
Over 3.5
6.63%
▲
(+0.14)
Under 3.5
93.37%
▼
(-0.15)
Score analysis
Penafiel
33.58%
Draw
25.15%
Leca
41.29%
Penafiel
1-0
@
8.35%
▲
(+0.20)
2-1 @ 7.04% ▼ (-0.20)
2-0 @ 5.11% ▲ (+0.10)
3-1 @ 3.37% ▲ (+0.19)
3-0 @ 2.6% ▼ (-0.09)
3-2 @ 2.49% ▲ (+0.14)
Other @ 4.62% ▲ (+0.33)
Total : 33.58%
2-1 @ 7.04% ▼ (-0.20)
2-0 @ 5.11% ▲ (+0.10)
3-1 @ 3.37% ▲ (+0.19)
3-0 @ 2.6% ▼ (-0.09)
3-2 @ 2.49% ▲ (+0.14)
Other @ 4.62% ▲ (+0.33)
Total : 33.58%
Draw
1-1
@
11.29%
▼
(-0.08)
0-0 @ 6.81% ▼ (-0.15)
2-2 @ 5.53% ▲ (+0.07)
3-3 @ 1.23% ▲ (+0.14)
Other @ 0.29% ▲ (+0.08)
Total : 25.15%
0-0 @ 6.81% ▼ (-0.15)
2-2 @ 5.53% ▲ (+0.07)
3-3 @ 1.23% ▲ (+0.14)
Other @ 0.29% ▲ (+0.08)
Total : 25.15%
Leca
0-1
@
9.45%
▼
(-0.50)
1-2 @ 8.65% ▼ (-0.09)
0-2 @ 6.64% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 4.1% ▲ (+0.09)
0-3 @ 3.22% ▼ (-0.33)
2-3 @ 2.89% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 6.34% ▲ (+0.06)
Total : 41.29%
1-2 @ 8.65% ▼ (-0.09)
0-2 @ 6.64% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 4.1% ▲ (+0.09)
0-3 @ 3.22% ▼ (-0.33)
2-3 @ 2.89% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 6.34% ▲ (+0.06)
Total : 41.29%