Club Friendlies 3
Jul 24, 2026 10.45am
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estádio Municipal 25 de Abril
  • Álex Millán 15' goal
  • Alfred Gothler 90'+7' goal

Penafiel vs Leganes - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Penafiel

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 18, 2026 1.00pm
Famalicao 0 - 0 Penafiel

Leganes

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 22, 2026 11.00am
Nacional 0 - 0 Leganes

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penafiel win with a probability of 35.3%. A win for Leganes had a probability of 35.26% and a draw had a probability of 29.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penafiel win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.76%) and 2-0 (6.47%). The likeliest Leganes win was 0-1 (10.81%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result

Penafiel 35.3% (+0.03)
Draw 29.44% (+0.02)
Leganes 35.26% (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.91% (-0.12)

Goals

Over 1.5 66.88% (-0.15)
Under 1.5 33.12% (+0.15)
Over 2.5 41.48% (-0.18)
Under 2.5 58.52% (+0.18)
Over 3.5 21.25% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 78.75% (+0.08)
Over 4.5 10.77% (-0.07)
Under 4.5 89.23% (+0.07)

First Half Winner

Penafiel 27.18% (+0.04)
Draw 46.97%
Leganes 25.85% (-0.03)

Team To Score First

Penafiel 46.71% (-0.07)
No Goal 10.95% (+0.05)
Leganes 42.34% (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 37.32% (-0.01)
Equal 8 11.81%
Under 8 50.86%
Over 9 27.11%
Equal 9 10.22%
Under 9 62.68% (+0.01)
Over 10.5 18.94% (-0.01)
Under 10.5 81.06% (+0.02)

Penafiel Goals

Over 1.5 31.3% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 68.7% (+0.07)
Over 2.5 10.46% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 89.54% (+0.06)
Over 3.5 3.12% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 96.88% (+0.01)

Leganes Goals

Over 0.5 65.95% (-0.12)
Under 0.5 34.05% (+0.12)
Over 1.5 31.42% (-0.10)
Under 1.5 68.58% (+0.10)
Over 2.5 11.77% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 88.23% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 3.43% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 96.57% (+0.03)

Score analysis

Penafiel 35.3%
Draw 29.44%
Leganes 35.26%
Penafiel
1-0 @ 11.36% (+0.08)
2-1 @ 7.76% (-0.04)
2-0 @ 6.47% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 2.82%
3-0 @ 2.23% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 1.62% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.04% (-0.01)
Total : 35.3%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.14% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 10.95% (+0.05)
2-2 @ 4.6% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.08%
Total : 29.44%
Leganes
0-1 @ 10.81% (+0.03)
1-2 @ 7.64% (-0.04)
0-2 @ 5.79% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 3.06% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.6% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.01%
Other @ 3.35% (-0.03)
Total : 35.26%