Taca de Portugal
Sep 19, 2026 5.00pm
Estádio de Ribes

UD Oliveirense vs Penafiel - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

UD Oliveirense

All competitions

Penafiel

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a UD Oliveirense win with a probability of 45.87%. A win for Penafiel has a probability of 29.02% and a draw has a probability of 25.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a UD Oliveirense win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Penafiel win is 0-1 (7.39%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.74%).

Result

UD Oliveirense 45.87% (+2.26)
Draw 25.11% (-0.50)
Penafiel 29.02% (-1.79)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.05% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.43% (+0.75)
Under 1.5 24.57% (-0.74)
Over 2.5 52.09% (+0.46)
Under 2.5 47.91% (-0.46)
Over 3.5 29.61% (+0.97)
Under 3.5 70.39% (-0.97)
Over 4.5 17.18% (+0.83)
Under 4.5 82.82% (-0.83)

First Half Winner

UD Oliveirense 33.42% (+1.89)
Draw 43.04% (-1.57)
Penafiel 23.54% (-0.33)

Team To Score First

UD Oliveirense 54.37% (+1.66)
No Goal 7.04% (-0.46)
Penafiel 38.59% (-1.21)

Corners

Over 8 35.42% (-3.34)
Equal 8 10.88% (-0.35)
Under 8 53.7% (+3.71)
Over 9 26.13% (-2.79)
Equal 9 9.28% (-0.59)
Under 9 64.58% (+3.36)
Over 10.5 18.78% (-2.11)
Under 10.5 81.22% (+2.11)

UD Oliveirense Goals

Over 1.5 44.05% (+1.74)
Under 1.5 55.95% (-1.74)
Over 2.5 20.4% (+1.68)
Under 2.5 79.6% (-1.69)
Over 3.5 7.33% (+0.82)
Under 3.5 92.67% (-0.82)

Penafiel Goals

Over 0.5 64.26% (-0.99)
Under 0.5 35.74% (+1.00)
Over 1.5 31.02% (-1.20)
Under 1.5 68.98% (+1.19)
Over 2.5 11.74% (-0.76)
Under 2.5 88.26% (+0.77)
Over 3.5 3.87% (-0.11)
Under 3.5 96.13% (+0.10)

Score analysis

UD Oliveirense 45.86%
Draw 25.1%
Penafiel 29.03%
UD Oliveirense
1-0 @ 10.13% (+0.17)
2-1 @ 9.45% (+0.17)
2-0 @ 7.14% (+0.20)
3-1 @ 4.66% (+0.38)
3-0 @ 4.26% (+0.23)
3-2 @ 3.06% (+0.27)
Other @ 7.16% (+0.86)
Total : 45.86%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.74% (+0.11)
0-0 @ 7.04% (-0.46)
2-2 @ 5.06% (-0.12)
3-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 0.17% (-0.04)
Total : 25.1%
Penafiel
0-1 @ 7.39% (-0.46)
1-2 @ 6.69% (-0.57)
0-2 @ 4.47% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 2.71% (-0.11)
0-3 @ 2.07% (-0.36)
2-3 @ 2% (-0.21)
Other @ 3.7% (-0.06)
Total : 29.03%