Taca de Portugal
Sep 20, 2026 3.00pm

Mortagua vs Leca - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Mortagua

All competitions

Leca

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Leca win with a probability of 38.14%. A win for Mortagua has a probability of 33.84% and a draw has a probability of 27.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leca win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.08%) and 0-2 (5.99%). The likeliest Mortagua win is 1-0 (9.23%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.57%).

Result

Mortagua 33.84% (-2.70)
Draw 27.96% (-0.17)
Leca 38.14% (+2.85)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.52% (+1.93)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.04% (+2.08)
Under 1.5 27.96% (-2.08)
Over 2.5 48.14% (+2.87)
Under 2.5 51.86% (-2.82)
Over 3.5 25.86% (+2.17)
Under 3.5 74.14% (-2.18)
Over 4.5 14.19% (+1.33)
Under 4.5 85.81% (-1.32)

First Half Winner

Mortagua 26.59% (-0.22)
Draw 46.89% (-0.46)
Leca 26.52% (+0.67)

Team To Score First

Mortagua 46.23% (-2.27)
No Goal 8.53% (-0.83)
Leca 45.24% (+3.10)

Corners

Over 8 48.08% (+2.34)
Equal 8 12.02% (+0.53)
Under 8 39.9% (-2.88)
Over 9 36.73% (+1.67)
Equal 9 11.35% (+0.67)
Under 9 51.92% (-2.34)
Over 10.5 26.87% (+0.99)
Under 10.5 73.13% (-0.99)

Mortagua Goals

Over 1.5 33.62% (-0.40)
Under 1.5 66.38% (+0.40)
Over 2.5 12.87% (-0.29)
Under 2.5 87.13% (+0.29)
Over 3.5 3.98% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 96.02% (-0.02)

Leca Goals

Over 0.5 70.48% (+3.22)
Under 0.5 29.52% (-3.21)
Over 1.5 36.77% (+3.82)
Under 1.5 63.23% (-3.82)
Over 2.5 15.52% (+2.52)
Under 2.5 84.48% (-2.52)
Over 3.5 5.4% (+1.08)
Under 3.5 94.6% (-1.09)

Score analysis

Mortagua 33.84%
Draw 27.96%
Leca 38.14%
Mortagua
1-0 @ 9.23% (-1.08)
2-1 @ 7.98% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 5.35% (-0.94)
3-1 @ 3.02% (-0.15)
3-0 @ 2.79% (-0.23)
3-2 @ 1.91% (-0.14)
Other @ 3.56% (-0.15)
Total : 33.84%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.57% (-0.26)
0-0 @ 8.53% (-0.83)
2-2 @ 5.27% (+0.56)
3-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 0.42% (+0.15)
Total : 27.96%
Leca
0-1 @ 10.14% (-0.17)
1-2 @ 8.08% (+0.49)
0-2 @ 5.99% (+0.38)
0-3 @ 3.43% (+0.50)
1-3 @ 3.37% (+0.44)
2-3 @ 2.15% (+0.29)
Other @ 4.98% (+0.94)
Total : 38.14%