Taca de Portugal
Aug 30, 2026 5.00pm
0
0
ET Estádio Municipal José dos Santos Pinto

Sporting Covilha vs Mortagua - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Covilha

All competitions

Mortagua

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Mortagua win with a probability of 37.81%. A win for Sporting Covilha has a probability of 33.79% and a draw has a probability of 28.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mortagua win is 0-1 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (7.68%) and 0-2 (7.1%). The likeliest Sporting Covilha win is 1-0 (10.24%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.89%).

Result

Sporting Covilha 33.79% (-0.11)
Draw 28.45% (+0.01)
Mortagua 37.81% (+0.16)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.6% (+0.03)

Goals

Over 1.5 67.95% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 32.05% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 42.1% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 57.9% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 22.27% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 77.73% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 11.8% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 88.2% (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Sporting Covilha 23.73% (+0.04)
Draw 48.17% (-0.13)
Mortagua 28.1% (+0.09)

Team To Score First

Sporting Covilha 40.58% (+0.01)
No Goal 10.14%
Mortagua 49.28% (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 63.82% (+0.14)
Equal 8 10.55% (+0.02)
Under 8 25.63% (-0.15)
Over 9 52.55% (+0.11)
Equal 9 11.27% (+0.03)
Under 9 36.18% (-0.14)
Over 10.5 41.49% (+0.08)
Under 10.5 58.51% (-0.08)

Sporting Covilha Goals

Over 1.5 30.77% (-0.09)
Under 1.5 69.23% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 11.4% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 88.6% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 3.38% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 96.62% (+0.03)

Mortagua Goals

Over 0.5 68.29% (+0.11)
Under 0.5 31.71% (-0.10)
Over 1.5 33.44% (+0.13)
Under 1.5 66.56% (-0.13)
Over 2.5 12.21% (+0.09)
Under 2.5 87.79% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 4.08% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 95.92% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Sporting Covilha 33.8%
Draw 28.45%
Mortagua 37.81%
Sporting Covilha
1-0 @ 10.24% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 7.22% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 5.85% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 3.01% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 2.31% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 1.94%
Other @ 3.23% (-0.03)
Total : 33.8%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.89% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 10.14%
2-2 @ 4.51%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 28.45%
Mortagua
0-1 @ 11.73% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 7.68% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 7.1% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 2.96% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 2.62%
2-3 @ 1.79% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.93% (+0.04)
Total : 37.81%