/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F17%2Fluzth.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F17%2Fstglog.png)
-
Luca Jaquez
62'
-
Thibault Klidje
71'
-
Pascal Loretz
90'+4'
-
Abdoulaye Diaby
17'
-
Christian Witzig
62'
-
Albert Vallci
68'
-
Corsin Konietzke
86'
-
Lukas Gortler
90'+2'
Luzern vs St Gallen - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luzern win with a probability of 42.8%. A win for St Gallen had a probability of 33.27% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luzern win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.76%) and 2-0 (6.33%). The likeliest St Gallen win was 1-2 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Luzern would win this match.
Result
Luzern
42.8%
▼
(-0.58)
Draw
23.93%
▲
(+0.26)
St Gallen
33.27%
▲
(+0.33)
Both Teams to Score:
60.9%
▼
(-0.80)
Goals
Over 2.5
58.73%
▼
(-1.10)
Under 2.5
41.27%
▲
(+1.10)
Over 3.5
36.34%
▼
(-1.13)
Under 3.5
63.66%
▲
(+1.13)
Over 4.5
19.27%
▼
(-0.87)
Under 4.5
80.73%
▲
(+0.87)
Luzern Goals
Over 0.5
80.47%
▼
(-0.70)
Under 0.5
19.54%
▲
(+0.70)
Over 1.5
48.57%
▼
(-1.15)
Under 1.5
51.43%
▲
(+1.16)
St Gallen Goals
Over 0.5
75.69%
▼
(-0.34)
Under 0.5
24.31%
▲
(+0.34)
Over 1.5
41.31%
▼
(-0.48)
Under 1.5
58.69%
▲
(+0.48)
Score analysis
Luzern
42.8%
Draw
23.92%
St Gallen
33.27%
Luzern
2-1
@
8.96%
▼
(-0.04)
1-0 @ 7.76% ▲ (+0.22)
2-0 @ 6.33% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 4.88% ▼ (-0.13)
3-0 @ 3.45% ▼ (-0.06)
3-2 @ 3.45% ▼ (-0.13)
4-1 @ 1.99% ▼ (-0.10)
4-0 @ 1.41% ▼ (-0.06)
4-2 @ 1.41% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 42.8%
1-0 @ 7.76% ▲ (+0.22)
2-0 @ 6.33% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 4.88% ▼ (-0.13)
3-0 @ 3.45% ▼ (-0.06)
3-2 @ 3.45% ▼ (-0.13)
4-1 @ 1.99% ▼ (-0.10)
4-0 @ 1.41% ▼ (-0.06)
4-2 @ 1.41% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 42.8%
Draw
1-1
@
10.96%
▲
(+0.21)
2-2 @ 6.33% ▼ (-0.09)
0-0 @ 4.75% ▲ (+0.24)
3-3 @ 1.63% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 23.92%
2-2 @ 6.33% ▼ (-0.09)
0-0 @ 4.75% ▲ (+0.24)
3-3 @ 1.63% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 23.92%
St Gallen
1-2
@
7.76%
▲
(+0.07)
0-1 @ 6.72% ▲ (+0.27)
0-2 @ 4.75% ▲ (+0.15)
1-3 @ 3.66% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.99% ▼ (-0.08)
0-3 @ 2.24% ▲ (+0.05)
1-4 @ 1.29% ▼ (-0.02)
2-4 @ 1.06% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 33.27%
0-1 @ 6.72% ▲ (+0.27)
0-2 @ 4.75% ▲ (+0.15)
1-3 @ 3.66% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.99% ▼ (-0.08)
0-3 @ 2.24% ▲ (+0.05)
1-4 @ 1.29% ▼ (-0.02)
2-4 @ 1.06% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 33.27%