Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luzern win with a probability of 53.02%. A win for Stade Lausanne-Ouchy had a probability of 25.74% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luzern win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.73%) and 0-1 (6.53%). The likeliest Stade Lausanne-Ouchy win was 2-1 (6.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Luzern would win this match.