Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugano win with a probability of 40.08%. A win for Young Boys had a probability of 37.01% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lugano win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.1%) and 2-0 (5.19%). The likeliest Young Boys win was 1-2 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.