Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugano win with a probability of 40.08%. A win for Young Boys had a probability of 37.01% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lugano win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.1%) and 2-0 (5.19%). The likeliest Young Boys win was 1-2 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.

Result
Lugano	Draw	Young Boys
40.08% ( 0.89)	22.9% ( 0.11)	37.01% ( -1)

Both teams to score 65.68% (

-0.51)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.6% (

-0.63)

35.39% (

0.63)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.57% (

-0.71)

57.43% (

0.71)

Lugano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.74% (

0.12)

18.26% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.69% (

0.2)

49.31% (

-0.2)

Young Boys Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.35% (

-0.74)

19.65% (

0.74)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.38% (

-1.22)

51.62% (

1.22)

Score Analysis

Lugano 40.08%

Young Boys 37.01%

Draw 22.9%

Lugano	Draw	Young Boys
2-1 @ 8.44% ( 0.14) 1-0 @ 6.1% ( 0.22) 2-0 @ 5.19% ( 0.2) 3-1 @ 4.78% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 3.89% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.94% ( 0.13) 4-1 @ 2.03% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.66% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.25% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.8% Total : 40.08%	1-1 @ 9.93% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 6.87% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 3.59% ( 0.11) 3-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.41% Total : 22.9%	1-2 @ 8.08% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 5.84% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 4.75% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 4.38% ( -0.15) 2-3 @ 3.72% ( -0.12) 0-3 @ 2.58% ( -0.1) 1-4 @ 1.78% ( -0.11) 2-4 @ 1.52% ( -0.08) 0-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.32% Total : 37.01%