Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lausanne Sport win with a probability of 44.21%. A win for Young Boys had a probability of 31.38% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lausanne Sport win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.68%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Young Boys win was 1-2 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lausanne Sport would win this match.