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Swindon Town
League Two | Gameweek 25
Jan 1, 2022 at 3pm UK
The County Ground
Northampton Town

Swindon
5 - 2
Northampton

McKirdy (28', 51', 55', 66'), Simpson (60')
Hunt (49'), Kesler (88')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Hoskins (37'), Guthrie (50')
McWilliams (18'), Sowerby (34'), Koiki (62')

Preview: Swindon Town vs. Northampton Town - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Swindon Town and Northampton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

After a number of coronavirus-related postponements, Northampton Town will return to action on New Year's Day as they make the trip to the County Ground to face Swindon Town.

The hosts enter the fixture in seventh place in League Two, while Northampton find themselves in second position.


Match preview

Swindon will be aiming to halt their current poor run of form on Saturday as they look to end a four-game winless league run.

A goalless home draw against Stevenage on Wednesday saw Swindon collect just their second point in their last four league games.

Those recent poor results have dropped Ben Garner's side down the League Two table, but they can be comforted by the fact that they enter the weekend still in the playoff places.

Garner will hope that his side can rediscover their goalscoring touch after failing to score in their previous two matches.

Surprisingly, Swindon have performed better away from home this season, having won just twice at the County Ground in League Two this term, but they have shown improvement of late as they enter Saturday's contest unbeaten in their last three home league games.

Meanwhile, Northampton will take to the field for the first time since December 11 after a number of coronavirus cases in their squad resulted in the postponement of their last three games.

Jon Brady will be hoping that his team can pick up where they left off after winning their previous four matches, and they head into the New Year's Day contest unbeaten in their last five outings.

In their most recent fixture, goals from Fraser Horsfall and Jon Guthrie helped the Cobblers to a 2-1 away victory over Harrogate Town.

That victory continued their current positive run of form that has seen Northampton insert themselves firmly into the League Two promotion picture, and after avoiding defeat in their last three away games, they will be confident of picking up at least a point on Saturday.

A strong defence has been key to the Cobblers' success this term, with Brady's side collecting 10 clean sheets, while only Tranmere Rovers have conceded fewer league goals than Northampton.

Swindon Town League Two form:
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • D

Swindon Town form (all competitions):
  • D
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • D

Northampton Town League Two form:
  • L
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W

Northampton Town form (all competitions):
  • L
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W



Team News

Swindon are still without Dion Conroy, who will serve the final match of his two-game suspension.

Mathieu Baudry will also be absent for Saturday's hosts due to injury.

Garner may make a couple of changes to freshen up the starting lineup, with Tyreece Simpson and Jonny Williams potential options to come into the side.

Despite a long break between games, Northampton could name an unchanged lineup from the side that beat Harrogate.

That could mean that Nicke Kabamba keeps his place in the side after starting in Northampton's most recent fixture.

Swindon Town possible starting lineup:
Wollacott; Kesler, Odimayo, Hunt, Iandolo; Reed, Gladwin, Williams; Mitchell-Lawson, Payne, Simpson

Northampton Town possible starting lineup:
Roberts; McGowan, Horsfall, Guthrie, Koiki; Pinnock, Sowerby, Lewis, Hoskins; Kabamba, Rose


SM words green background

We say: Swindon Town 1-1 Northampton Town

We expect a close contest with both sides in the promotion hunt, and that could lead to a cagey encounter that ends all square as the two teams settle for a point apiece.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data



ID:474041:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:collect7593:
Written by
Ben Sully

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 38.04%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 34.28% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.07%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 0-1 (10.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swindon Town would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Swindon vs Northampton

Swindon Town
40.0%
Draw
10.0%
Northampton Town
50.0%
10
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