Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kocaelispor win with a probability of 52.77%. A draw had a probability of 26.37% and a win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 20.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kocaelispor win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.48%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.8%) , while for a Fatih Karagumruk win it was 0-1 (7.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.