Turkish Super Lig Gameweek 33
May 9, 2026 6.00pm
İsmetpaşa Stadyumu

Kocaelispor vs Fatih Karagumruk - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Kocaelispor

All competitions
Turkish Super Lig
Last game
May 3, 2026 6.00pm
Kasimpasa 1 - 1 Kocaelispor
Goals scored
26
Top scorer
Dan Agyei

Fatih Karagumruk

All competitions
Turkish Super Lig
Last game
May 3, 2026 6.00pm
Karagumruk 1 - 0 Genclerbirligi
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Serginho

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Kocaelispor win with a probability of 52.75%. A draw has a probability of 26.4% and a win for Fatih Karagumruk has a probability of 20.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kocaelispor win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.47%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.83%) , while for a Fatih Karagumruk win it is 0-1 (7.07%).

Result

Kocaelispor 52.75%
Draw 26.4%
Fatih Karagumruk 20.86%

Both Teams to Score: 

46.58%

Goals

Over 1.5 70.2%
Under 1.5 29.8%
Over 2.5 44.77%
Under 2.5 55.23%
Over 3.5 23.45%
Under 3.5 76.55%
Over 4.5 12.96% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 87.04% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Kocaelispor 37.64%
Draw 42.59%
Fatih Karagumruk 19.77%

Team To Score First

Kocaelispor 56.86%
No Goal 9.31%
Fatih Karagumruk 33.83%

Corners

Over 8 50.76%
Equal 8 13.12%
Under 8 36.12%
Over 9 38.08%
Equal 9 12.68%
Under 9 49.24%
Over 10.5 26.98%
Under 10.5 73.02%

Kocaelispor Goals

Over 1.5 45.81%
Under 1.5 54.19%
Over 2.5 20.44% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 79.56% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 7.43%
Under 3.5 92.57%

Fatih Karagumruk Goals

Over 0.5 54.11%
Under 0.5 45.89%
Over 1.5 21.2%
Under 1.5 78.8%
Over 2.5 6.28% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 93.72% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 1.48%
Under 3.5 98.52%

Score analysis

Kocaelispor 52.75%
Draw 26.4%
Fatih Karagumruk 20.86%
Kocaelispor
1-0 @ 13.43%
2-0 @ 10.47%
2-1 @ 9.4%
3-0 @ 5.42%
3-1 @ 4.61%
3-2 @ 2.15%
Other @ 7.27%
Total : 52.75%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.83%
0-0 @ 9.31%
2-2 @ 4.27% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 26.4%
Fatih Karagumruk
0-1 @ 7.07%
1-2 @ 5.38%
0-2 @ 3.12%
1-3 @ 1.61%
2-3 @ 1.23%
0-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 1.32%
Total : 20.86%

Head to Head

Turkish Super Lig
Dec 14, 2025 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Serginho 50' yellowcard
  • David Datro Fofana 65' goal
  • Daniel Johnson 75' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Botond Balogh 22'
  • yellowcard Manuel Cafumana 35'
  • goal Bruno Petkovic 90'+3'