Turkish Super Lig Gameweek 33
May 9, 2026 6.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT İsmetpaşa Stadyumu
  • Habib Keïta 46' yellowcard
  • Rigoberto Rivas 46' yellowcard
  • Tayfur Bingöl 61' yellowcard
  • Darko Churlinov 73' yellowcard
  • Esat Yusuf Narin 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Daniele Verde 59'
  • yellowcard Anıl Yiğit Çınar 69'
  • goal Anıl Yiğit Çınar 70'
  • yellowcard Barış Kalaycı 90'+1'

Kocaelispor vs Fatih Karagumruk - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Kocaelispor

All competitions
Turkish Super Lig
Last game
May 3, 2026 6.00pm
Kasimpasa 1 - 1 Kocaelispor
Goals scored
26
Top scorer
Dan Agyei

Fatih Karagumruk

All competitions
Turkish Super Lig
Last game
May 3, 2026 6.00pm
Karagumruk 1 - 0 Genclerbirligi
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Serginho

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kocaelispor win with a probability of 52.77%. A draw had a probability of 26.37% and a win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 20.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kocaelispor win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.48%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.8%) , while for a Fatih Karagumruk win it was 0-1 (7.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result

Kocaelispor 52.77% (+0.03)
Draw 26.37% (-0.03)
Fatih Karagumruk 20.86%

Both Teams to Score: 

46.58%

Goals

Over 1.5 70.18% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 29.82% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 44.77%
Under 2.5 55.23%
Over 3.5 23.45%
Under 3.5 76.55%
Over 4.5 12.97% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 87.03% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Kocaelispor 37.64%
Draw 42.59%
Fatih Karagumruk 19.77%

Team To Score First

Kocaelispor 56.84% (-0.02)
No Goal 9.31%
Fatih Karagumruk 33.85% (+0.03)

Corners

Over 8 50.76%
Equal 8 13.12%
Under 8 36.12%
Over 9 38.08%
Equal 9 12.68%
Under 9 49.24%
Over 10.5 26.98%
Under 10.5 73.02%

Kocaelispor Goals

Over 1.5 45.82% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 54.18% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 20.45% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 79.55% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 7.44% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 92.56% (-0.01)

Fatih Karagumruk Goals

Over 0.5 54.07% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 45.93% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 21.19% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 78.81% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 6.28%
Under 2.5 93.72%
Over 3.5 1.48%
Under 3.5 98.52%

Score analysis

Kocaelispor 52.78%
Draw 26.36%
Fatih Karagumruk 20.86%
Kocaelispor
1-0 @ 13.44% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 10.48% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.4%
3-0 @ 5.42%
3-1 @ 4.61%
3-2 @ 2.15%
Other @ 7.28% (+0.02)
Total : 52.78%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.8% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 9.31%
2-2 @ 4.26% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 26.36%
Fatih Karagumruk
0-1 @ 7.07%
1-2 @ 5.37% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.13% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.61%
2-3 @ 1.23%
0-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 1.32%
Total : 20.86%

Head to Head

Turkish Super Lig
Dec 14, 2025 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Serginho 50' yellowcard
  • David Datro Fofana 65' goal
  • Daniel Johnson 75' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Botond Balogh 22'
  • yellowcard Manuel Cafumana 35'
  • goal Bruno Petkovic 90'+3'