Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 42.98%. A win for Kayserispor had a probability of 31.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.91%) and 0-2 (7.49%). The likeliest Kayserispor win was 1-0 (8.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Kayserispor would win this match.