Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 42.98%. A win for Kayserispor had a probability of 31.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.91%) and 0-2 (7.49%). The likeliest Kayserispor win was 1-0 (8.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Kayserispor would win this match.

Result
Kayserispor	Draw	Istanbul Basaksehir
31.1% ( 0.29)	25.93% ( -0.18)	42.98% ( -0.11)

Both teams to score 53.2% (

0.7)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.06% (

0.84)

50.93% (

-0.84)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.19% (

0.73)

72.81% (

-0.73)

Kayserispor Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.58% (

0.63)

30.41% (

-0.63)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.38% (

0.74)

66.62% (

-0.74)

Istanbul Basaksehir Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.45% (

0.31)

23.55% (

-0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.39% (

0.45)

57.6% (

-0.45)

Score Analysis

Kayserispor 31.1%

Istanbul Basaksehir 42.97%

Draw 25.92%

Kayserispor	Draw	Istanbul Basaksehir
1-0 @ 8.53% ( -0.14) 2-1 @ 7.34% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 5.07% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.91% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 2.11% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 2.01% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.13% Total : 31.1%	1-1 @ 12.32% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 7.16% ( -0.24) 2-2 @ 5.31% ( 0.1) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.92%	0-1 @ 10.35% ( -0.26) 1-2 @ 8.91% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 7.49% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 4.3% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 3.61% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.56% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 1.55% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 1.31% ( 0) 2-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.97% Total : 42.97%