Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kayserispor win with a probability of 52.62%. A win for Hatayspor had a probability of 24.04% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kayserispor win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.74%) and 2-0 (8.66%). The likeliest Hatayspor win was 1-2 (6.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kayserispor would win this match.

Result
Kayserispor	Draw	Hatayspor
52.62% ( 0.02)	23.33% ( -0.04)	24.04% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 56.15% (

0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.49% (

0.17)

44.51% (

-0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.12% (

0.16)

66.88% (

-0.16)

Kayserispor Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.09% (

0.07)

16.91% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.04% (

0.12)

46.96% (

-0.12)

Hatayspor Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.58% (

0.11)

32.42% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.06% (

0.12)

68.94% (

-0.12)

Score Analysis

Kayserispor 52.62%

Hatayspor 24.04%

Draw 23.33%

Kayserispor	Draw	Hatayspor
2-1 @ 9.75% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.74% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 8.66% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 5.78% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.13% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.25% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.57% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.28% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.45% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.1% Total : 52.62%	1-1 @ 10.97% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.49% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.48% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.33%	1-2 @ 6.18% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.17% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 3.48% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.32% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.06% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.31% ( 0) Other @ 2.53% Total : 24.04%