Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hatayspor win with a probability of 40.38%. A win for Sivasspor had a probability of 33.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hatayspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest Sivasspor win was 0-1 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hatayspor would win this match.

Result
Hatayspor	Draw	Sivasspor
40.38% ( 0)	25.8% ( -0.16)	33.81% ( 0.15)

Both teams to score 54.53% (

0.56)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.37% (

0.7)

49.63% (

-0.71)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.35% (

0.63)

71.65% (

-0.63)

Hatayspor Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.72% (

0.31)

24.27% (

-0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.36% (

0.45)

58.64% (

-0.45)

Sivasspor Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.01% (

0.43)

27.99% (

-0.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.37% (

0.55)

63.62% (

-0.56)

Score Analysis

Hatayspor 40.38%

Sivasspor 33.81%

Draw 25.79%

Hatayspor	Draw	Sivasspor
1-0 @ 9.62% ( -0.19) 2-1 @ 8.67% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 6.81% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 4.09% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 3.21% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.61% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 1.45% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.14% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.87% Total : 40.38%	1-1 @ 12.24% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 6.79% ( -0.2) 2-2 @ 5.52% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.79%	0-1 @ 8.65% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 7.8% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 5.51% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.31% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 2.34% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 2.34% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.81% Total : 33.81%