Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 32
Apr 19, 2025 at 11.30am UK
Recep Tayyip Erdogan Stadyumu

Kasimpasa
3 - 1
Sivasspor

Keles (6'), Fall (34'), Kara (90+9' pen.)
Ben Ouannes (31'), Opoku (36'), Gianniotis (81'), Keles (90')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Koita (84')
Sonko-Sundberg (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Kasimpasa and Sivasspor, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kasimpasa

All competitions
Last Game: Kayserispor 1-0 Kasimpasa
Sunday, April 13 at 2pm in Turkish Super Lig

Sivasspor

All competitions
Last Game: Sivasspor 1-3 Fenerbahce
Sunday, April 13 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kasimpasa win with a probability of 41.11%. A win for Sivasspor had a probability of 34.69% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kasimpasa win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.79%) and 2-0 (6.14%). The likeliest Sivasspor win was 1-2 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.14%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Kasimpasa would win this match.

Result
KasimpasaDrawSivasspor
41.11% (-0.131 -0.13)24.19% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)34.69% (0.134 0.13)
Both teams to score 60.36% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.85% (0.042999999999999 0.04)42.14% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.45% (0.042999999999999 0.04)64.55% (-0.043000000000006 -0.04)
Kasimpasa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.34% (-0.043000000000006 -0.04)20.66% (0.044 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.76% (-0.067 -0.07)53.24% (0.067 0.07)
Sivasspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.08% (0.096000000000004 0.1)23.91% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.87% (0.137 0.14)58.12% (-0.137 -0.14)
Score Analysis
    Kasimpasa 41.11%
    Sivasspor 34.69%
    Draw 24.19%
KasimpasaDrawSivasspor
2-1 @ 8.79% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
1-0 @ 7.79% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-0 @ 6.14% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.62% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.31% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 3.23% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.82% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.3% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.27% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 41.11%
1-1 @ 11.14% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.29% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.94% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.58% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.19%
1-2 @ 7.97% (0.018 0.02)
0-1 @ 7.07% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.06% (0.019 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.8% (0.019 0.02)
2-3 @ 3% (0.012 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.41% (0.016 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.36% (0.011 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.07% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 34.69%

Head to Head
Nov 24, 2024 10.30am
Gameweek 13
Sivasspor
0-0
Kasimpasa
Paluli (41'), Koita (70'), Charisis (77')
Gul (70')
> Preview
Mar 1, 2024 5pm
Gameweek 28
Kasimpasa
0-0
Sivasspor
Winck (53'), Rochinha (90+1')
Poungouras (55')
> Preview
Oct 22, 2023 11.30am
Gameweek 9
Sivasspor
0-1
Kasimpasa
Gomis (53')
Hajradinovic (26'), Dilli (90+3')
> Preview
May 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 34
Sivasspor
1-2
Kasimpasa
Gokay (90+7')
Goutas (21'), Ulvestad (45+2'), Yesilyurt (90+2')
Ben Ouannes (66'), Fall (84')
Ben Ouannes (77')
Guvenc (90+1')
> Preview
Dec 24, 2022 1pm
Gameweek 15
Kasimpasa
1-2
Sivasspor
Ben Ouannes (39')
Saba (14'), Gradel (65')
> Preview