Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kasimpasa win with a probability of 41.11%. A win for Sivasspor had a probability of 34.69% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kasimpasa win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.79%) and 2-0 (6.14%). The likeliest Sivasspor win was 1-2 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.14%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Kasimpasa would win this match.