Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 28
Mar 15, 2025 at 1pm UK
Recep Tayyip Erdogan Stadyumu
Alanyaspor

Kasimpasa
2 - 1
Alanyaspor

Fall (30'), Hajradinovic (36' pen.)
Fall (56'), Espinoza (72')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Vilhena (38')
Ozdemir (49')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Kasimpasa and Alanyaspor, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kasimpasa

All competitions
Last Game: Bodrumspor 1-0 Kasimpasa
Friday, March 7 at 5.30pm in Turkish Super Lig

Alanyaspor

All competitions
Last Game: Alanyaspor 1-2 Galatasaray
Sunday, March 9 at 5.30pm in Turkish Super Lig

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alanyaspor win with a probability of 44.45%. A win for Kasimpasa had a probability of 31.55% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alanyaspor win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.17%) and 0-2 (6.74%). The likeliest Kasimpasa win was 2-1 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Kasimpasa in this match.

Result
KasimpasaDrawAlanyaspor
31.55% (0.017999999999997 0.02)23.99% (0.017999999999997 0.02)44.45% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 59.96% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.8% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)42.2% (0.073 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.39% (-0.071000000000005 -0.07)64.61% (0.075000000000003 0.08)
Kasimpasa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.21% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)25.78% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.27% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)60.73% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Alanyaspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.79% (-0.041999999999987 -0.04)19.21% (0.044999999999998 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.1% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)50.9% (0.073 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Kasimpasa 31.55%
    Alanyaspor 44.45%
    Draw 23.99%
KasimpasaDrawAlanyaspor
2-1 @ 7.51% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-0 @ 6.71% (0.017 0.02)
2-0 @ 4.55% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.39% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.8% (-0.004 -0)
3-0 @ 2.06% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.15% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 0.95% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 31.55%
1-1 @ 11.07% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.19% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.95% (0.016 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.54% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.99%
1-2 @ 9.14% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-1 @ 8.17% (0.016 0.02)
0-2 @ 6.74% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 5.02% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.71% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 3.41% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-4 @ 2.07% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.53% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 1.4% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 44.45%

Head to Head
Oct 20, 2024 5pm
Gameweek 9
Alanyaspor
1-2
Kasimpasa
Cordova (66')
Balkovec (51'), Aksoy (53'), Augusto (57'), Hadergjonaj (73')
Ben Ouannes (2'), Brekalo (34')
Cafu (24')
> Preview
Feb 4, 2024 1pm
Gameweek 24
Kasimpasa
2-1
Alanyaspor
Gul (36'), Fall (59')
Porozo (28' og.)
Richard (53'), Fer (90+4'), Bayir (90+4'), Balkovec (90+5')
> Preview
Sep 17, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 5
Alanyaspor
3-3
Kasimpasa
Cordova (18'), Novais (24', 51')
Fall (45+2'), Kara (79'), Ben Ouannes (87')
> Preview
May 30, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 36
Alanyaspor
1-3
Kasimpasa
Aydin (49')
Doumbia (47')
Djilobodji (60'), Koita (65'), Fall (78')
Eysseric (42')
> Preview
Jan 4, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 17
Kasimpasa
4-1
Alanyaspor
Ben Ouannes (11'), Fall (32', 83'), Eysseric (67')
Mahgoub (90+1')
> Preview