Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Samsunspor win with a probability of 53.05%. A win for Kasimpasa had a probability of 24.24% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Samsunspor win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.89%) and 2-0 (8.24%). The likeliest Kasimpasa win was 1-2 (6.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.