Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sivasspor win with a probability of 50.51%. A win for Adana Demirspor had a probability of 25.73% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sivasspor win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.59%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest Adana Demirspor win was 1-2 (6.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sivasspor would win this match.