Europa League Gameweek 1
Sep 16, 2026 8.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Merkur Arena
  • Luis Balbo 51' yellowcard
  • Fabio Ingolitsch 51' yellowcard
  • Fabio Ingolitsch 61' yellowcard
  • Jon Gorenc Stankovic 90'+7' yellowcard

Sturm Graz vs Rennes - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Sturm Graz

All competitions

Rennes

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Rennes win with a probability of 43.15%. A win for Sturm Graz has a probability of 32.98% and a draw has a probability of 23.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (8.21%) and 0-2 (6.16%). The likeliest Sturm Graz win is 2-1 (7.63%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.42%).

Result

Sturm Graz 32.98% (-1.05)
Draw 23.87% (+0.36)
Rennes 43.15% (+0.72)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.83% (+0.54)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.29% (+0.14)
Under 1.5 19.71% (-0.13)
Over 2.5 59.33% (+0.19)
Under 2.5 40.67% (-0.15)
Over 3.5 37.28% (+0.36)
Under 3.5 62.72% (-0.36)
Over 4.5 22.76% (+0.16)
Under 4.5 77.24% (-0.16)

First Half Winner

Sturm Graz 28.29% (-1.31)
Draw 36.84% (-1.43)
Rennes 34.87% (+2.73)

Team To Score First

Sturm Graz 46.63% (-0.72)
No Goal 5.23%
Rennes 48.14% (+0.72)

Corners

Over 8 72.93% (+2.53)
Equal 8 9.14% (+0.05)
Under 8 17.93% (-2.56)
Over 9 62.37% (+2.19)
Equal 9 10.56% (+0.34)
Under 9 27.07% (-2.52)
Over 10.5 51.2% (+1.65)
Under 10.5 48.8% (-1.65)

Sturm Graz Goals

Over 1.5 38.59% (-0.46)
Under 1.5 61.41% (+0.46)
Over 2.5 16.76% (-0.75)
Under 2.5 83.24% (+0.75)
Over 3.5 6.85% (-0.25)
Under 3.5 93.15% (+0.25)

Rennes Goals

Over 0.5 75.37% (+0.69)
Under 0.5 24.63% (-0.68)
Over 1.5 45.63% (+1.00)
Under 1.5 54.37% (-1.00)
Over 2.5 22.34% (+0.70)
Under 2.5 77.66% (-0.71)
Over 3.5 8.38% (+0.29)
Under 3.5 91.62% (-0.29)

Score analysis

Sturm Graz 32.98%
Draw 23.87%
Rennes 43.14%
Sturm Graz
2-1 @ 7.63% (-0.09)
1-0 @ 6.26% (-0.08)
2-0 @ 4.39% (-0.10)
3-1 @ 3.48% (-0.25)
3-2 @ 2.48% (-0.09)
3-0 @ 2.22% (-0.22)
Other @ 6.52% (-0.28)
Total : 32.98%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.42% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 6.16% (+0.28)
0-0 @ 5.23%
3-3 @ 1.73% (+0.04)
Other @ 0.33% (+0.04)
Total : 23.87%
Rennes
1-2 @ 8.49% (+0.10)
0-1 @ 8.21% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 6.16% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 4.88% (+0.18)
0-3 @ 3.7% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 3.65% (+0.19)
Other @ 8.05% (+0.26)
Total : 43.14%