Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Strasbourg win with a probability of 54.03%. A draw had a probability of 23.11% and a win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 22.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Strasbourg win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.92%) , while for a Mainz 05 win it was 0-1 (6.23%).