Conference League
Apr 16, 2026 8.00pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT Stade de la Meinau
  • Sebastian Nanasi 26' goal
  • Abdoul Ouattara 35' goal
  • Emmanuel Emegha 58' yellowcard
  • Emmanuel Emegha 66' yellowcard
  • Julio Enciso 69' goal
  • Emmanuel Emegha 74' goal
  • Lucas Høgsberg 78' yellowcard
  • Gessime Yassine 79' yellowcard
  • Maxi Oyedele 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nadiem Amiri 46'
  • yellowcard Anthony Caci 72'
  • yellowcard Armindo Sieb 72'
  • yellowcard William Bøving 82'
  • yellowcard Nikolas Veratschnig 82'

Strasbourg vs Mainz 05 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Strasbourg

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Apr 9, 2026 8.00pm
Mainz 2 - 0 Strasbourg

Mainz 05

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Apr 9, 2026 8.00pm
Mainz 2 - 0 Strasbourg

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Strasbourg win with a probability of 54.03%. A draw had a probability of 23.11% and a win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 22.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Strasbourg win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.92%) , while for a Mainz 05 win it was 0-1 (6.23%).

Result

Strasbourg 54.03% (+0.04)
Draw 23.11%
Mainz 05 22.89% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.2% (-0.03)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.42% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 22.58% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 54.13% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 45.87% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 31.98% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 68.02% (+0.07)
Over 4.5 19.07% (-0.06)
Under 4.5 80.93% (+0.07)

First Half Winner

Strasbourg 42.19%
Draw 38.31%
Mainz 05 19.5%

Team To Score First

Strasbourg 62.7% (-0.01)
No Goal 5.82% (+0.02)
Mainz 05 31.48%

Corners

Over 8 53.33%
Equal 8 11.5%
Under 8 35.17%
Over 9 42.01% (+0.01)
Equal 9 11.32%
Under 9 46.67%
Over 10.5 31.74%
Under 10.5 68.26%

Strasbourg Goals

Over 1.5 51.7%
Under 1.5 48.3%
Over 2.5 25.79% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 74.21% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 10.38% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 89.62% (+0.02)

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5 58.97% (-0.06)
Under 0.5 41.03% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 26.34% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 73.66% (+0.07)
Over 2.5 8.77% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 91.23% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 2.54% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 97.46% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Strasbourg 54.03%
Draw 23.11%
Mainz 05 22.89%
Strasbourg
1-0 @ 10.56% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.84% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 9.04% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.64%
3-0 @ 5.37% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.31% (-0.01)
Other @ 10.27% (-0.01)
Total : 54.03%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.92%
0-0 @ 5.82% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.17%
3-3 @ 1.09% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 23.11%
Mainz 05
0-1 @ 6.23%
1-2 @ 5.76%
0-2 @ 3.33% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.11% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.86% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 2.43% (-0.03)
Total : 22.89%

Head to Head

Conference League
Apr 9, 2026 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Mewa Arena
  • Kaishu Sano 11' goal
  • Stefan Posch 19' goal
  • 69' yellowcard
  • Nikolas Veratschnig 69' yellowcard
  • Armindo Sieb 69' yellowcard
  • Nikolas Veratschnig 70' yellowcard
  • William Bøving 70' yellowcard
  • Kacper Potulski 80' yellowcard
  • Lennard Maloney 89' yellowcard
  • Lennard Maloney 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Emmanuel Emegha 64'
  • yellowcard Diego Moreira 64'
  • yellowcard Emmanuel Emegha 65'
  • yellowcard Diego Moreira 65'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Nanasi 85'
Club Friendlies 1
Aug 9, 2025 2.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT