Club Friendlies 3
Jul 28, 2026 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Bet365 Stadium
  • Gabriel Gartside-Kelly 59' goal

Stoke City vs Everton - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Stoke City

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 21, 2026 7.45pm
Chester 0 - 1 Stoke

Everton

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 25, 2026 3.00pm
Bolton 0 - 0 Everton

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 41.61%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 31.6% and a draw had a probability of 26.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.42%) and 0-2 (7.08%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 1-0 (8.82%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.

Result

Stoke City 31.6% (-0.33)
Draw 26.79% (+0.04)
Everton 41.61% (+0.33)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.98% (-0.12)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.46% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 27.54% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 48.07% (-0.22)
Under 2.5 51.93% (+0.22)
Over 3.5 25.18% (-0.18)
Under 3.5 74.82% (+0.22)
Over 4.5 13.55% (-0.09)
Under 4.5 86.45% (+0.08)

First Half Winner

Stoke City 24.81% (-0.02)
Draw 43.61% (-0.01)
Everton 31.58% (+0.02)

Team To Score First

Stoke City 41.63% (-0.03)
No Goal 8.49% (+0.09)
Everton 49.88% (-0.05)

Corners

Over 8 65.52% (-0.17)
Equal 8 10.79% (+0.01)
Under 8 23.69% (+0.16)
Over 9 53.8% (-0.16)
Equal 9 11.72% (-0.01)
Under 9 34.48% (+0.16)
Over 10.5 42.2% (-0.12)
Under 10.5 57.8% (+0.12)

Stoke City Goals

Over 1.5 31.02% (-0.38)
Under 1.5 68.98% (+0.39)
Over 2.5 11.12% (-0.25)
Under 2.5 88.88% (+0.25)
Over 3.5 3.1% (-0.09)
Under 3.5 96.9% (+0.09)

Everton Goals

Over 0.5 72.24% (+0.15)
Under 0.5 27.76% (-0.14)
Over 1.5 39.44% (+0.17)
Under 1.5 60.56% (-0.17)
Over 2.5 15.78% (+0.11)
Under 2.5 84.22% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 5.34% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 94.66% (-0.05)

Score analysis

Stoke City 31.59%
Draw 26.8%
Everton 41.61%
Stoke City
1-0 @ 8.82% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 7.51% (-0.05)
2-0 @ 5.04% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 2.79% (-0.07)
3-0 @ 2.32% (-0.07)
3-2 @ 2.02% (-0.05)
Other @ 3.09% (-0.09)
Total : 31.59%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.27% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 8.49% (+0.09)
2-2 @ 5.14% (-0.08)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 26.8%
Everton
0-1 @ 10.23% (+0.05)
1-2 @ 9.42% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 7.08% (+0.16)
1-3 @ 3.7% (+0.04)
0-3 @ 3.64% (+0.04)
2-3 @ 2.21% (+0.01)
Other @ 5.33% (+0.05)
Total : 41.61%

Head to Head

Club Friendlies 1
Jul 29, 2023 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • goal Amadou Onana 90'
Premier League
Mar 17, 2018 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Charlie Adam 30' redcard
  • Ryan Shawcross 56' yellowcard
  • Maxim Choupo-Moting 77' goal
  • goal Cenk Tosun 69'
  • yellowcard Phil Jagielka 82'
  • goal Cenk Tosun 84'
Premier League
Aug 12, 2017 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Wayne Rooney 45' goal
  • Cuco Martina 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joe Allen 29'
Premier League
Feb 1, 2017 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Peter Crouch 7' goal
  • Phil Bardsley 81' yellowcard
  • goal Ryan Shawcross 39' (OG)
Premier League
Aug 27, 2016 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Ross Barkley 9' yellowcard
  • Shay Given 51' goal
  • Gareth Barry 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Erik Pieters 56'
Premier League
Feb 6, 2016 3.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 3
FT
  • Mame Biram Diouf 59' yellowcard
  • goal Romelu Lukaku 11'
  • goal Seamus Coleman 28'
  • goal Aaron Lennon 42'