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Burnley logo
Premier League | Gameweek 6
Oct 26, 2020 at 8pm UK
Turf Moor
Spurs logo

Burnley
0 - 1
Spurs


Brownhill (2'), Long (80')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Heung-min (76')

Preview: Burnley vs. Tottenham Hotspur - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Monday's Premier League clash between Burnley and Tottenham Hotspur, including team news and predicted lineups.

Tottenham Hotspur will be looking to return to winning ways in the Premier League when they travel to an out-of-form Burnley side on Monday night.

Spurs threw away a three-goal lead to draw 3-3 with West Ham United in the league last weekend but will fancy their chances of triumphing at Turf Moor due to Burnley's early-season struggles.


Match preview

Burnley manager Sean Dyche pictured on October 19, 2020© Reuters

It is far too early in the season to worry about the league table, but the fact that Burnley are currently 18th with just one point to show from their opening four games of the campaign is far from ideal.

Goals have been a problem - just three so far - but performances have also been disappointing, losing against Leicester City, Southampton and Newcastle United in their opening three matches.

Sean Dyche's side did manage to get off the mark in terms of points last weekend with a draw at West Bromwich Albion, but they are now looking at back-to-back home matches with Tottenham and Chelsea.

Burnley have finished 16th, seventh, 15th and 10th in the Premier League since winning the 2015-16 Championship and have become a notoriously difficult team to overcome.

They have only won one of their last five home league games dating back to last season, though, and the pressure could quickly start to build on the management team if the team's poor run of form continues.

Tottenham Hotspur manager Jose Mourinho shouts during his side's Premier League clash with West Ham United on October 18, 2020© Reuters

Tottenham, meanwhile, have picked up eight points from their first five games of the 2020-21 Premier League campaign to occupy eighth position in the table.

A 6-1 win at Manchester United before the international break led to them being branded title contenders by some and that argument was strengthened when they raced into a 3-0 lead against West Ham at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium last weekend.

Spurs showed that they still have plenty to work on in the latter stages, though, with West Ham scoring three late goals - including a stunner from Manuel Lanzini - to secure a share of the spoils in the London derby.

Jose Mourinho's side did return to winning ways on Thursday night, though, opening their Europa League challenge with a comfortable 3-0 win over LASK Linz.

No team has scored more Premier League goals than Tottenham (15) this season, with Son Heung-min and Harry Kane both in sensational form in the early weeks of the campaign. There are still question marks over the team's defensive qualities, though, which could ultimately undermine their pursuit of silverware.

Burnley Premier League form: LLLD
Burnley form (all competitions): LWLLLD

Tottenham Hotspur Premier League form: LWDWD
Tottenham Hotspur form (all competitions): DWWWDW


Team News

Tottenham Hotspur's Gareth Bale celebrates with Lucas Moura and Carlos Vinicius during the Europa League clash with LASK Linz on October 22, 2020© Reuters

Burnley will again be without the services of Jack Cork and Ben Mee on Monday night, while Phillip Bardsley is unavailable for selection, having tested positive for coronavirus.

Erik Pieters is also a doubt for the clash due to a calf injury, but Matthew Lowton has made strong progress in his recovery from an ankle issue and should be available for Dyche's team.

Ashley Barnes is once again expected to line up alongside Chris Wood in the final third of the field, while Johann Berg Gudmundsson should get the nod over Robbie Brady on the right.

As for Tottenham, Japhet Tanganga is definitely out of the contest with a thigh issue, while Eric Dier is also a doubt with the hamstring problem that he picked up on international duty with England.

Dier is unlikely to be risked, meaning that Toby Alderweireld and Davinson Sanchez should again line up as the two central defenders, while Serge Aurier could again edge out Matt Doherty to start at right-back.

Gareth Bale is pushing for his first Premier League start since returning to Spurs, with the Wales international appearing off the bench in their last two games with West Ham and LASK.

Steven Bergwijn was not used on Thursday, though, suggesting that he will get the nod alongside Son and Kane in attack, while Tanguy Ndombele, Moussa Sissoko and Hugo Lloris should all return to the XI.

Burnley possible starting lineup:
Pope; Lowton, Long, Tarkowski, Taylor; Gudmundsson, Westwood, Brownhill, McNeil; Barnes, Wood

Tottenham Hotspur possible starting lineup:
Lloris; Aurier, Alderweireld, Sanchez, Davies; Sissoko, Hojbjerg; Son, Ndombele, Bergwijn; Kane


SM words green background

We say: Burnley 1-3 Tottenham Hotspur

Burnley are certainly capable of making it a difficult match for Spurs, and we fancy the hosts to get on the scoresheet against an unconvincing Tottenham defence. That said, Mourinho's side have so much quality in the final third, and we are expecting a relatively comfortable away win on Monday night.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data


ID:419600:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:collect11214:
Written by
Matt Law

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tottenham Hotspur win with a probability of 54.98%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Burnley had a probability of 20.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tottenham Hotspur win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.34%) and 1-2 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.48%), while for a Burnley win it was 1-0 (6.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Tottenham Hotspur in this match.


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Game History

Who will win Monday's Premier League clash between Burnley and Tottenham Hotspur?

Burnley
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Draw
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Tottenham Hotspur
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Burnley boss Sean Dyche on July 5, 2020
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