Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Cristal win with a probability of 44.07%. A win for Cerro Porteno had a probability of 30.11% and a draw had a probability of 25.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Cristal win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Cerro Porteno win was 0-1 (8.11%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.