Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 46.62%. A win for Sochaux had a probability of 27.36% and a draw had a probability of 26.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.74%) and 0-2 (8.09%). The likeliest Sochaux win was 1-0 (8.5%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.